Research Output 1992 2020

2020

The growth mode of built-up land in floodplains and its impacts on flood vulnerability

Han, Y., Huang, Q., He, C., Fang, Y., Wen, J., Gao, J. & Du, S., 15 Jan 2020, In : Science of the Total Environment. 700, p. 1-11 11 p., 134462.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
floodplain
vulnerability
patch size
Rivers
Economics

The safe development paradox: An agent-based model for flood risk under climate change in the European Union

Haer, T., Husby, T. G., Botzen, W. J. W. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 1 Jan 2020, In : Global Environmental Change. 60, 102009.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

European Union
natural disaster
climate change
population growth
event
2019

Achieving the reduction of disaster risk by better predicting impacts of El Niño and La Niña

Guimarães Nobre, G., Muis, S., Veldkamp, T. & Ward, P., 2019, In : Progress in Disaster Science. 2, 100022.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access

Adoption of Individual Flood Damage Mitigation Measures in New York City: An Extension of Protection Motivation Theory

Botzen, W. J. W., Kunreuther, H., Czajkowski, J. & de Moel, H., Oct 2019, In : Risk Analysis. 39, 10, p. 2143-2159

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Flood damage
Motivation
Flood insurance
Risk management
Disasters
Open Access
Psychological Adaptation
Disasters
Systems Analysis
Risk assessment
disaster

Advancing global storm surge modelling using the new ERA5 climate reanalysis

Dullaart, J. C. M., Muis, S., Bloemendaal, N. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 6 Nov 2019, In : Climate Dynamics.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
storm surge
tropical cyclone
wind field
climate
global climate

A global database of historic and real-time flood events based on social media

de Bruijn, J., de Moel, H., Jongman, B., de Ruiter, M., Wagemaker, J. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 9 Dec 2019, In : Scientific Data. 6, 1, 1 p., 311.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Social Media
social media
natural disaster
Real-time
event

A global multi-hazard risk analysis of road and railway infrastructure assets

Koks, E. E., Rozenberg, J., Zorn, C., Tariverdi, M., Vousdoukas, M., Fraser, S. A., Hall, J. W. & Hallegatte, S., 25 Jun 2019, In : Nature Communications. 10, p. 1-11 11 p., 2677.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Risk analysis
roads
hazards
Hazards
damage

Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial

Scussolini, P., Bakker, P., Guo, C., Stepanek, C., Zhang, Q., Braconnot, P., Cao, J., Guarino, M-V., Coumou, D., Prange, M., Ward, P. J., Renssen, H., Kageyama, M., Otto-Bliesner, B. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 20 Nov 2019, In : Science advances. 5, 11, p. 1-12 12 p., eaax7047.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

monsoons
climate
radiative forcing
climate models
Southern Hemisphere
cost-benefit analysis
natural disaster
beach
economics
economic efficiency

Amplified Rossby waves enhance risk of concurrent heatwaves in major breadbasket regions

Kornhuber, K., Coumou, D., Vogel, E., Lesk, C., Donges, J. F., Lehmann, J. & Horton, R. M., 1 Jan 2019, In : Nature Climate Change.

Research output: Contribution to JournalLetterAcademicpeer-review

Rossby wave
heat
summer
food
jet stream

An assessment of best practices of extreme weather insurance and directions for a more resilient society

Hudson, P. G. M. B., de Ruig, L. T., de Ruiter, M. C., Kuik, O. J., Botzen, W. J. W., Le Den, X., Persson, M., Benoist, A. & Nielsen, C., 22 Apr 2019, In : Environmental Hazards.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
insurance
best practice
weather
resilience
pillar

An economic evaluation of adaptation pathways in coastal mega cities: An illustration for Los Angeles

de Ruig, L. T., Barnard, P. L., Botzen, W. J. W., Grifman, P., Hart, J. F., de Moel, H., Sadrpour, N. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 15 Aug 2019, In : Science of the Total Environment. 678, p. 647-659 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
megacity
Sea level
Economics
economics
Risk management

A Spatially Explicit Assessment of Growing Water Stress in China From the Past to the Future

Liu, X., Tang, Q., Liu, W., Veldkamp, T. I. E., Boulange, J., Liu, J., Wada, Y., Huang, Z. & Yang, H., Sep 2019, In : Earth's Future. 7, 9, p. 1027-1043 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
water stress
streamflow
basin
water availability
water

Assessing changes in risk of amplified planetary waves in a warming world

Huntingford, C., Mitchell, D., Kornhuber, K., Coumou, D., Osprey, S. & Allen, M., 3 Jul 2019, In : Atmospheric Science Letters. 20, 8, e929.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
planetary wave
sea surface temperature
warming
amplification
weather

Assessing time, cost and quality trade-offs in forecast-based action for floods

Bischiniotis, K., van den Hurk, B., Coughlan de Perez, E., Veldkamp, T., Nobre, G. G. & Aerts, J., 1 Nov 2019, In : International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 40, p. 1-13 13 p., 101252.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Risk management
natural disaster
costs
cost
Costs

Bending the trend: Towards sustainable flood and drought risk solutions through understanding global disaster risk

Ward, P., 8 Nov 2019, 26 p.

Research output: Book / ReportInaugural speechProfessional

File

Brief communication: Rethinking the 1998 China floods to prepare for a nonstationary future

Du, S., Cheng, X., Huang, Q., Chen, R., Ward, P. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 2 Apr 2019, In : Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 19, 3, p. 715-719 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
communication
global trade
urban planning
urbanization
climate change

Building asset value mapping in support of flood risk assessments: A case study of Shanghai, China

Wu, J., Ye, M., Wang, X. & Koks, E., 14 Feb 2019, In : Sustainability (Switzerland). 11, 4, p. 1-19 19 p., 971.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Risk assessment
risk assessment
natural disaster
assets
China

Climate change and natural disasters: Government mitigation activities and public property demand response

Hein, W., Wilson, C., Lee, B., Rajapaksa, D., de Moel, H., Athukorala, W. & Managi, S., Mar 2019, In : Land Use Policy. 82, p. 436-443 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

beach erosion
disasters
natural disaster
property market
mitigation

Commentary: The need for a high-accuracy, open-access global DEM

Winsemius, H. C., Ward, P. J., Gayton, I., ten Veldhuis, M. C., Meijer, D. H. & Iliffe, M., Mar 2019, In : Frontiers in Earth Science. 7, p. 1-4 4 p., 33.

Research output: Contribution to JournalComment / Letter to the editorAcademic

Consecutive extreme flooding and heat wave in Japan: Are they becoming a norm?

Wang, S. S. Y., Kim, H., Coumou, D., Yoon, J. H., Zhao, L. & Gillies, R. R., Oct 2019, In : Atmospheric Science Letters. 20, 10, e933.

Research output: Contribution to JournalEditorialAcademicpeer-review

Open Access

Consistently dated Atlantic sediment cores over the last 40 thousand years

Waelbroeck, C., Lougheed, B. C., Vazquez Riveiros, N., Missiaen, L., Pedro, J., Dokken, T., Hajdas, I., Wacker, L., Abbott, P., Dumoulin, J. P., Thil, F., Eynaud, F., Rossignol, L., Fersi, W., Albuquerque, A. L., Arz, H., Austin, W. E. N., Came, R., Carlson, A. E., Collins, J. A. & 43 othersDennielou, B., Desprat, S., Dickson, A., Elliot, M., Farmer, C., Giraudeau, J., Gottschalk, J., Henderiks, J., Hughen, K., Jung, S., Knutz, P., Lebreiro, S., Lund, D. C., Lynch-Stieglitz, J., Malaizé, B., Marchitto, T., Martínez-Méndez, G., Mollenhauer, G., Naughton, F., Nave, S., Nürnberg, D., Oppo, D., Peck, V., Peeters, F. J. C., Penaud, A., Portilho-Ramos, R. D. C., Repschläger, J., Roberts, J., Rühlemann, C., Salgueiro, E., Sanchez Goni, M. F., Schönfeld, J., Scussolini, P., Skinner, L. C., Skonieczny, C., Thornalley, D., Toucanne, S., Rooij, D. V., Vidal, L., Voelker, A. H. L., Wary, M., Weldeab, S. & Ziegler, M., 2 Sep 2019, In : Scientific Data. 6, 1, p. 1-12 12 p., 165.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Sediment
Ocean
Sediments
Climate
climate

Data schemas for multiple hazards, exposure and vulnerability

Murnane, R. J., Allegri, G., Bushi, A., Dabbeek, J., de Moel, H., Duncan, M., Fraser, S., Galasso, C., Giovando, C., Henshaw, P., Horsburgh, K., Huyck, C., Jenkins, S., Johnson, C., Kamihanda, G., Kijazi, J., Kikwasi, W., Kombe, W., Loughlin, S., Løvholt, F. & 17 othersMasanja, A., Mbongoni, G., Minas, S., Msabi, M., Msechu, M., Mtongori, H., Nadim, F., O’Hara, M., Pagani, M., Phillips, E., Rossetto, T., Rudari, R., Sangana, P., Silva, V., Twigg, J., Uhinga, G. & Verrucci, E., 4 Nov 2019, In : Disaster Prevention and Management: An International Journal. 28, 6, p. 752-763 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

vulnerability
hazard
Forestry
Tanzania
Livestock

Drowning by Numbers: Social Welfare, Cost-Benefit Analysis and Flood Risk Management

Kind, J. M., 2019, 226 p.

Research output: PhD ThesisPhD Thesis - Research VU, graduation VUAcademic

Open Access
File
Open Access
rural area
vulnerability
risk assessment
urban area
damage

Evaluating the impact of model complexity on flood wave propagation and inundation extent with a hydrologic-hydrodynamic model coupling framework

Hoch, J. M., Eilander, D., Ikeuchi, H., Baart, F. & Winsemius, H. C., 12 Aug 2019, In : Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 19, 8, p. 1723-1735 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
flood wave
wave propagation
hydrodynamics
hazard
peak discharge

Evaluation of a global ensemble flood prediction system in Peru

Bischiniotis, K., van den Hurk, B., Zsoter, E., Coughlan de Perez, E., Grillakis, M. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 27 Jul 2019, In : Hydrological Sciences Journal. 64, 10, p. 1171-1189 19 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
prediction
river
early warning system
evaluation
gauge

Exploring the sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation to different surface temperature forcing using a statistical-dynamical atmospheric model

Totz, S., Petri, S., Lehmann, J., Peukert, E. & Coumou, D., 18 Feb 2019, In : Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics. 26, 1, p. 1-12 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access

Extreme weather events in early summer 2018 connected by a recurrent hemispheric wave-7 pattern

Kornhuber, K., Osprey, S., Coumou, D., Petri, S., Petoukhov, V., Rahmstorf, S. & Gray, L., 26 Apr 2019, In : Environmental Research Letters. 14, 5, p. 1-7 7 p., 054002.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access

Financing agricultural drought risk through ex-ante cash transfers

Guimarães Nobre, G., Davenport, F., Bischiniotis, K., Veldkamp, T., Jongman, B., Funk, C. C., Husak, G., Ward, P. J. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 25 Feb 2019, In : Science of the Total Environment. 653, p. 523-535 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Drought
drought
cost
maize
Costs

Flood insurance arrangements in the European Union for future flood risk under climate and socioeconomic change

Hudson, P., Botzen, W. J. W. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 1 Sep 2019, In : Global Environmental Change. 58, p. 1-13 13 p., 101966.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

socioeconomic development
insurance
European Union
climate change
climate

Floods, droughts and climate variability: From early warning to early action

Guimarães Nobre, G., 2019, 312 p.

Research output: PhD ThesisPhD Thesis - Research VU, graduation VUAcademic

Open Access
File

From rain to famine: assessing the utility of rainfall observations and seasonal forecasts to anticipate food insecurity in East Africa

Coughlan de Perez, E., van Aalst, M., Choularton, R., van den Hurk, B., Mason, S., Nissan, H. & Schwager, S., 15 Feb 2019, In : Food Security. 11, 1, p. 57-68 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
famine
Eastern Africa
Rain
Food Supply
nutrition situation

Generic adaptation pathways for coastal archetypes under uncertain sea-level rise

Haasnoot, M., Brown, S., Scussolini, P., Jimenez, J. A., Vafeidis, A. & Nicholls, R. J., 7 Aug 2019, In : Environmental Research Communications. 071006.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
sea level rise
sustainability
analysis
monitoring
resource

Household-level effects of providing forecast-based cash in anticipation of extreme weather events: Quasi-experimental evidence from humanitarian interventions in the 2017 floods in Bangladesh

Gros, C., Bailey, M., Schwager, S., Hassan, A., Zingg, R., Uddin, M. M., Shahjahan, M., Islam, H., Lux, S., Jaime, C. & Coughlan de Perez, E., 1 Dec 2019, In : International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 41, p. 1-11 11 p., 101275.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
humanitarian intervention
Bangladesh
natural disaster
weather
event

How to improve attribution of changes in drought and flood impacts

Kreibich, H., Blauhut, V., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Bouwer, L. M., Van Lanen, H. A. J., Mejia, A., Mens, M. & Van Loon, A. F., 2 Jan 2019, In : Hydrological Sciences Journal. 64, 1, p. 1-18 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

drought
vulnerability
catchment
analysis

Impacts of flooding and flood preparedness on subjective well-being: A monetisation of the tangible and intangible impacts

Hudson, P., Botzen, W. J. W., Poussin, J. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., Feb 2019, In : Journal of Happiness Studies. 20, 2, p. 665-682

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences

Runge, J., Bathiany, S., Bollt, E., Camps-Valls, G., Coumou, D., Deyle, E., Glymour, C., Kretschmer, M., Mahecha, M. D., Muñoz-Marí, J., van Nes, E. H., Peters, J., Quax, R., Reichstein, M., Scheffer, M., Schölkopf, B., Spirtes, P., Sugihara, G., Sun, J., Zhang, K. & 1 othersZscheischler, J., 1 Dec 2019, In : Nature Communications. 10, 1, 2553.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Earth Sciences
Systems science
Causality
Time series
Earth (planet)

Integrated disaster risk management and adaptation

Botzen, W. J. W., Bouwer, L. M., Scussolini, P., Kuik, O. J., Haasnoot, M., Lawrence, J. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 2019, Loss and Damage from Climate Change: Concepts, Methods and Policy Options. Mechler, R., Bouwer, L. M., Schinko, S., Surminski, S. & Linnerooth-Bayer, J. (eds.). Springer, p. 287-315 29 p.

Research output: Chapter in Book / Report / Conference proceedingChapterAcademicpeer-review

disaster
climate change
weather
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
assessment method

Long-lead statistical forecasts of the indian summer monsoon rainfall based on causal precursors

Di Capua, G., Kretschmer, M., Runge, J., Alessandri, A., Donner, R. V., van Den Hurk, B., Vellore, R., Krishnan, R. & Coumou, D., 1 Oct 2019, In : Weather and Forecasting. 34, 5, p. 1377-1394 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

monsoon
rainfall
summer
El Nino-Southern Oscillation
forecast

Mapping the city-scale supply and demand of ecosystem flood regulation services: A case study in Shanghai

Shen, J., Du, S., Huang, Q., Yin, J., Zhang, M., Wen, J. & Gao, J., 1 Nov 2019, In : Ecological Indicators. 106, p. 1-8 8 p., 105544.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

supply balance
case studies
China
ecosystems
ecosystem

Meridionally Extending Anomalous Wave Train over Asia During Breaks in the Indian Summer Monsoon

Umakanth, U., Vellore, R. K., Krishnan, R., Choudhury, A. D., Bisht, J. S. H., Di Capua, G., Coumou, D. & Donner, R. V., Dec 2019, In : Earth Systems and Environment. 3, 3, p. 353–366

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

train
monsoon
Heating
anomaly
Rain

Multiregional disaster impact models: Recent advances and comparison of outcomes

Koks, E., Pant, R., Husby, T., Többen, J. & Oosterhaven, J., 2019, Advances in Spatial and Economic Modeling of Disaster Impacts. Okuyama, Y. & Rose, A. (eds.). Springer International Publishing AG, p. 191-218 28 p. (Advances in Spatial Science).

Research output: Chapter in Book / Report / Conference proceedingChapterAcademicpeer-review

disaster
input-output model
supply
programming
impact analysis

Optical properties of Forel-Ule water types deduced from 15 years of global satellite ocean color observations

Pitarch, J., van der Woerd, H. J., Brewin, R. J. W. & Zielinski, O., 15 Sep 2019, In : Remote Sensing of Environment. 231, p. 1-16 16 p., 111249.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

ocean color
optical properties
optical property
Optical properties
oceans

Role of economic instruments in water allocation reform: lessons from Europe

Rey, D., Dionisio Pérez-Blanco, C., Escriva-Bou, A., Girard, C. & Veldkamp, T. I. E., 2019, In : International Journal of Water Resources Development. 35, 2, p. 206-239 34 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
economic instrument
water
reform
economics
Italy

S2S reboot: An argument for greater inclusion of machine learning in subseasonal to seasonal forecasts

Cohen, J., Coumou, D., Hwang, J., Mackey, L., Orenstein, P., Totz, S. & Tziperman, E., Mar 2019, In : Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews. Climate Change. 10, 2, p. 1-15 15 p., e00567.

Research output: Contribution to JournalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access

Science for Loss and Damage: Findings and Propositions

Mechler, R., Calliari, E., Bouwer, L. M., Schinko, T., Surminski, S., Linnerooth-Bayer, J., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Botzen, W., Kuik, O. J. & Scussolini, P., 2019, Loss and Damage from Climate Change: Concepts, Methods and Policy Options. Mechler, R., Bouwer, L., Schinko, T., Surminski, S. & Linnerooth-Bayer, J. (eds.). Springer, p. 3-37 35 p. (Climate Risk Management, Policy and Governance).

Research output: Chapter in Book / Report / Conference proceedingChapterAcademicpeer-review

damage
climate
climate change
accountability
loss

Social vulnerability in cost-benefit analysis for flood risk management

Kind, J. M., Botzen, W. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 2019, (Accepted/In press) In : Environment and Development Economics.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review