Research Output 1992 2020

2018

Flood risk modeling in Jakarta: development and usefulness in a time of climate change

Budiyono, Y., 2018, 154 p.

Research output: PhD ThesisPhD Thesis - Research VU, graduation VUAcademic

Open Access
File

Forecast-based financing: a scientific foundation for systematic early action

Coughlan, E. R., 2018, 133 p.

Research output: PhD ThesisPhD Thesis - Research VU, graduation VUAcademic

Open Access
File

Future climate risk from compound events

Zscheischler, J., Westra, S., Van Den Hurk, B. J. J. M., Seneviratne, S. I., Ward, P. J., Pitman, A., Aghakouchak, A., Bresch, D. N., Leonard, M., Wahl, T. & Zhang, X., Jun 2018, In : Nature Climate Change. 8, 6, p. 469-477 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

hazard
climate
event
social impact
extreme event

Future extreme precipitation intensities based on a historic event

Manola, I., Van Den Hurk, B., de Moel, H. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 17 Jul 2018, In : Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 22, 7, p. 3777-3788 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
precipitation intensity
climate
weather
dew point
method

Global Modeling of Tropical Cyclone Storm Surges using High-Resolution Forecasts

Bloemendaal, N., Muis, S., Haarsma, R. J., Verlaan, M., Irazoqui Apechchea, M., de Moel, H., Ward, P. J. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 10 Sep 2018, In : Climate Dynamics. p. 1-14 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
storm surge
tropical cyclone
modeling
forecast
upscaling

Global predictability of temperature extremes

De Perez, E. C., Van Aalst, M., Bischiniotis, K., Mason, S., Nissan, H., Pappenberger, F., Stephens, E., Zsoter, E. & Van Den Hurk, B., 2 May 2018, In : Environmental Research Letters. 13, 5, p. 1-13 13 p., 054017.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
seasonality
Weather
Temperature
Extreme Heat
Tropics

Hess opinions: An interdisciplinary research agenda to explore the unintended consequences of structural flood protection

Baldassarre, G. D., Kreibich, H., Vorogushyn, S., Aerts, J., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., Barendrecht, M., Bates, P., Borga, M., Botzen, W., Bubeck, P., De Marchi, B., Llasat, C., Mazzoleni, M., Molinari, D., Mondino, E., Märd, J., Petrucci, O., Scolobig, A., Viglione, A. & Ward, P. J., 30 Oct 2018, In : Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 22, 11, p. 5629-5637 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
File
levee
flood control
protected area
flooding
safety

Hue-angle product for low to medium spatial resolution optical satellite sensors

van der Woerd, H. J. & Wernand, M. R., Feb 2018, In : Remote Sensing. 10, 2 Special Issue, p. 1-18 18 p., 180.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
satellite sensor
ocean color
spatial resolution
Landsat
water quality

Human impact parameterizations in global hydrological models improve estimates of monthly discharges and hydrological extremes: A multi-model validation study

Veldkamp, T. I. E., Zhao, F., Ward, P. J., De Moel, H., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Schmied, H. M., Portmann, F. T., Masaki, Y., Pokhrel, Y., Liu, X., Satoh, Y., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Zaherpour, J. & Wada, Y., 4 May 2018, In : Environmental Research Letters. 13, 5, p. 1-16 16 p., 055008.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Validation Studies
model validation
Parameterization
anthropogenic effect
parameterization

Identification of symmetric and asymmetric responses in seasonal streamflow globally to ENSO phase

Lee, D., Ward, P. J. & Block, P., Apr 2018, In : Environmental Research Letters. 13, 4, p. 1-12 11 p., 044031.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
File
Water Resources
Safety Management
Southern Africa
South America
Drought

Increased Occurrence of Record-Wet and Record-Dry Months Reflect Changes in Mean Rainfall

Lehmann, J., Mempel, F. & Coumou, D., 28 Dec 2018, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 45, 24, p. 13,468-13,476 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

occurrences
rainfall
trends
Southeast Asia
hydrological cycle

Influence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on Global Coastal Flooding

Muis, S., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Ward, P. J., Guimaraes Nobre, G. G. N. & Haigh, I. D., Sep 2018, In : Earth's Future. 6, 9, p. 1311-1322 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Southern Oscillation
flooding
sea level
El Nino-Southern Oscillation
tide gauge

Insights into Flood-Coping Appraisals of Protection Motivation Theory: Empirical Evidence from Germany and France

Bubeck, P., Botzen, W. J. W., Laudan, J., Aerts, J. C. J. H. & Thieken, A. H., Jun 2018, In : Risk Analysis. 38, 6, p. 1239-1257 19 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

France
Germany
Motivation
Social Environment
Social Support

Integrating adaptation behaviour in flood risk analysis: An agent-based modelling approach

Haer, T., 2018, 243 p.

Research output: PhD ThesisPhD Thesis - Research VU, graduation VUAcademic

Open Access
File

Integrating Dynamic Adaptive Behaviour in Flood Risk Assessments

Haer, T., Botzen, W. J. W. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 12 Dec 2018, 11 ed., p. 1-59, 59 p. (Wharton Risk Center).

Research output: Working paperAcademic

risk assessment
disaster
European Union
vulnerability
flooding

Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment

Aerts, J. C. J. H., Botzen, W. J., Clarke, K. C., Cutter, S. L., Hall, J. W., Merz, B., Michel-Kerjan, E., Mysiak, J., Surminski, S. & Kunreuther, H., 27 Feb 2018, In : Nature Climate Change. 8, 3, p. 193-199 6 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

human behavior
risk assessment
disaster
natural disaster
risk management

Joint assimilation of soil moisture retrieved from multiple passive microwave frequencies increases robustness of soil moisture state estimation

Gevaert, A. I., Renzullo, L. J., Van Dijk, A. I. J. M., Van Der Woerd, H. J., Weerts, A. H. & De Jeu, R. A. M., 3 Sep 2018, In : Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 22, 9, p. 4605-4619 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
soil moisture
rhizosphere
remote sensing
resource assessment
Kalman filter

Local-scale changes in mean and heavy precipitation in Western Europe, climate change or internal variability?

Aalbers, E., Lenderink, G., van Meijgaard, E. & van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., 2018, In : Climate Dynamics. 50, 11-12, p. 4745-4766

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
climate change
climate
climate signal
global warming
regional climate

Magnitude and robustness associated with the climate change impacts on global hydrological variables for transient and stabilized climate states

Julien, B., Naota, H., Ted, V., Jacob, S. & Hideo, S., 4 Jun 2018, In : Environmental Research Letters. 13, 6, p. 1-8 8 p., 064017.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Climate Change
Climate
Climate change
Climate models
climate change

More-persistent weak stratospheric polar vortex States linked to cold extremes

Kretschmer, M., Coumou, D., Agel, L., BArlow, M., Tziperman, E. & Cohen, J. DA., 1 Jan 2018, In : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 99, 1, p. 49-60 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
polar vortex
amplification
cooling
winter
cold

Pathways to resilience: Adapting to sea level rise in Los Angeles

Aerts, J. C. J. H., Barnard, P. L., Botzen, W., Grifman, P., Hart, J. F., De Moel, H., Mann, A. N., de Ruig, L. T. & Sadrpour, N., Sep 2018, In : Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. 1427, 1, p. 1-90 90 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Los Angeles
Sea level
Oceans and Seas
Beaches
Levees

Projected changes in persistent extreme summer weather events: The role of quasi-resonant amplification

Mann, M. E., Rahmstorf, S., Kornhuber, K., Steinman, B. A., Miller, S. K., Petri, S. & Coumou, D., 31 Oct 2018, In : Science advances. 4, 10, p. 1-10 10 p., eaat3272.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
amplification
weather
summer
climate modeling
aerosol

Rapid population growth in Chinese floodplains from 1990 to 2015

Fang, Y., Du, S., Scussolini, P., Wen, J., He, C., Huang, Q. & Gao, J., Aug 2018, In : International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 15, 8, p. 1-11 11 p., 1602.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Population Growth
China
Population
Climate Change
Population Density

Regional Changes in the Mean Position and Variability of the Tropical Edge

Totz, S., Petri, S., Lehmann, J. & Coumou, D., 16 Nov 2018, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 45, 21, p. 12076-12084 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

jet stream
Hadley cell
cells
trends
continents

Simultaneous optimisation of the nutritional quality and environmental sustainability of diets

van Dooren, C., 2018, 346 p.

Research output: PhD ThesisPhD Thesis - Research VU, graduation VUAcademic

Open Access
File
environmental sustainability
nutritive value
diet
Dietary Guidelines
health foods

Storm Surge Reconstruction and Return Water Level Estimation in Southeast Asia for the 20th Century

Cid, A., Wahl, T., Chambers, D. P. & Muis, S., Jan 2018, In : Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. 123, 1, p. 437-451 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

storm surges
Southeast Asia
storm surge
Water levels
South East Asia

Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change

Shepherd, T. G., Boyd, E., Calel, R. A., Chapman, S. C., Dessai, S., Dima-West, I. M., Fowler, H. J., James, R., Maraun, D., Martius, O., Senior, C. A., Sobel, A. H., Stainforth, D. A., Tett, S. F. B., Trenberth, K. E., van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., Watkins, N. W., Wilby, R. L. & Zenghelis, D. A., Dec 2018, In : Climatic Change. 151, 3-4, p. 555-571 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
climate change
typology
climate modeling
vulnerability
partitioning

TAGGS: Grouping Tweets to Improve Global Geoparsing for Disaster Response

de Bruijn, J. A., de Moel, H., Jongman, B., Wagemaker, J. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., Jun 2018, In : Journal of Geovisualization and Spatial Analysis. 2, 2, p. 1-14 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Disasters
Metadata

The ability of societies to adapt to twenty-first-century sea-level rise

Hinkel, J., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Brown, S., Jiménez, J. A., Lincke, D., Nicholls, R. J., Scussolini, P., Sanchez-Arcilla, A., Vafeidis, A. & Addo, K. A., 1 Jul 2018, In : Nature Climate Change. 8, 7, p. 570-578 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

twenty first century
twenty-first century
coastal engineering
social conflict
megacity

The different stratospheric influence on cold-extremes in Eurasia and North America

Kretschmer, M., Cohen, J., Matthias, V., Runge, J. & Coumou, D., 22 Nov 2018, In : NPJ CLIMATE AND ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE. 1

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access

The dynamical core of the Aeolus 1.0 statistical-dynamical atmosphere model: Validation and parameter optimization

Totz, S., Eliseev, A. V., Petri, S., Flechsig, M., Caesar, L., Petoukhov, V. & Coumou, D., 22 Feb 2018, In : Geoscientific Model Development. 11, 2, p. 665-679 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Model Validation
model validation
Parameter Optimization
Atmosphere
atmosphere

The effect of climate type on timescales of drought propagation in an ensemble of global hydrological models

Gevaert, A. I., Veldkamp, T. I. E. & Ward, P. J., 6 Sep 2018, In : Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 22, 9, p. 4649-4665 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
drought
timescale
soil moisture
effect
climate type

The influence of antecedent conditions on flood risk in sub-Saharan Africa

Bischiniotis, K., van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., Coughlan, E. R., Jongman, B., Aerts, J. C. J. H., de Moel, H. & Veldkamp, T. I. E., 19 Jan 2018, In : Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 18, 1, p. 271-285

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
antecedent conditions
timescale
weather
flood forecasting
early warning system

The influence of Arctic amplification on mid-latitude summer circulation

Coumou, D., Di Capua, G., Vavrus, S., Wang, L. & Wang, S., 20 Aug 2018, In : Nature Communications. 9, p. 1-12 12 p., 2959.

Research output: Contribution to JournalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Sea ice
Weather
Snow
Thermal gradients
summer

The multimedia satellite task at MediaEval 2018: Emergency response for flooding events

Bischke, B., Helber, P., Zhao, Z., De Bruijn, J. & Borth, D., 2018, Multimedia Benchmark Workshop: Working Notes Proceedings of the MediaEval 2018 Workshop. Sophia Antipolis, France, 29-31 October 2018.. Larson, M. (ed.). CEUR-WS.org, p. 1-3 3 p. (CEUR Workshop Proceedings; vol. 2283).

Research output: Chapter in Book / Report / Conference proceedingConference contributionAcademicpeer-review

Satellite imagery
Satellites
Image classification
Electric fuses
Disasters

The potential of global reanalysis datasets in identifying flood events in Southern Africa

Gründemann, G. J., Werner, M. & Veldkamp, T. I. E., 6 Sep 2018, In : Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 22, 9, p. 4667-4683 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
water resource
river basin
Southern Africa
extreme event
basin

Two-thirds of global cropland area impacted by climate oscillations

Heino, M., Puma, M. J., Ward, P. J., Gerten, D., Heck, V., Siebert, S. & Kummu, M., 28 Mar 2018, In : Nature Communications. 9, p. 1-10 10 p., 1257.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
farmlands
Indian Ocean
Food Supply
crops
Climate

Understanding the use of 2015–2016 El Niño forecasts in shaping early humanitarian action in Eastern and Southern Africa

Tozier de la Poterie, A. S., Jjemba, W. E., Singh, R., Coughlan de Perez, E., Costella, C. V. & Arrighi, J., Sep 2018, In : International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 30, Part A, p. 81-94 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Southern Africa
event
weather
Somalia
Drought

Using the adaptive cycle in climate-risk insurance to design resilient futures

Cremades, R., Surminski, S., Máñez Costa, M., Hudson, P., Shrivastava, P. & Gascoigne, J., 2018, In : Nature Climate Change. 8, p. 4-7 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

resilience
insurance
climate change
climate
event

Validation of a rapid attribution of the May/June 2016 flood-inducing precipitation in France to climate change

Philip, S., Kew, S. F., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Aalbers, E., Vautard, R., Otto, F., Haustein, K., Habets, F. & Singh, R., 1 Nov 2018, In : Journal of Hydrometeorology. 19, 11, p. 1881-1898 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

climate change
basin
return period
climate modeling
flooding

Water shortages worsened by reservoir effects

Di Baldassarre, G., Wanders, N., AghaKouchak, A., Kuil, L., Rangecroft, S., Veldkamp, T. I. E., Garcia, M., van Oel, P. R., Breinl, K. & Van Loon, A. F., 13 Nov 2018, In : Nature Sustainability. 1, 11, p. 617-622 6 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

water shortages
Drought
Droughts
drought
shortage

When environmental forces collide

Wahl, T., Ward, P. J., Winsemius, H. C., AghaKouchak, A., Bender, J., Haigh, I. D., Jain, S., Leonard, M., Veldkamp, T. I. E. & Westra, S., 27 Jun 2018, In : EOS. 99, 1 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access

Worldwide evaluation of mean and extreme runoff from six global-scale hydrological models that account for human impacts

Zaherpour, J., Gosling, S. N., Mount, N., Schmied, H. M., Veldkamp, T. I. E., Dankers, R., Eisner, S., Gerten, D., Gudmundsson, L., Haddeland, I., Hanasaki, N., Kim, H., Leng, G., Liu, J., Masaki, Y., Oki, T., Pokhrel, Y., Satoh, Y., Schewe, J. & Wada, Y., 12 Jun 2018, In : Environmental Research Letters. 13, 6, p. 1-18 18 p., 065015.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Aptitude
Runoff
anthropogenic effect
runoff
Droughts
2017
Open Access

A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C

Gosling, S. N., Zaherpour, J. J., Mount, N. J., Hattermann, F. F., Dankers, R., Arheimer, B., Breuer, L., Ding, J., Haddeland, I., Kumar, R., Kundu, D., Liu, J., van Griensven, A., Veldkamp, T. I. E., Vetter, T., Wang, X. & Zhang, X., 1 Apr 2017, In : Climatic Change. 141, 3, p. 577-595 23 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
global warming
catchment
runoff
river
hydrological hazard

A comparison of two global datasets of extreme sea levels and resulting flood exposure

Muis, S., Verlaan, M., Nicholls, R., Brown, S., Hinkel, J., Lincke, D., Vafeidis, A., Scussolini, P., Winsemius, H. C. & Ward, P. J., Mar 2017, In : Earth's Future. 5, 4, p. 379-392

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
sea level
tide
exposure
comparison
confidence interval

Adaptation to flood risk: Results of international paired flood event studies

Kreibich, H., Di Baldassarre, G., Vorogushyn, S., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Apel, H., Aronica, G. T., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., Bouwer, L., Bubeck, P., Caloiero, T., Chinh, D. T., Cortès, M., Gain, A. K., Giampá, V., Kuhlicke, C., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Carmen Llasat, M., Mård, J., Matczak, P., Mazzoleni, M. & 8 othersMolinari, D., Dung, N. V., Petrucci, O., Schröter, K., Slager, K., Thieken, A. H., Ward, P. J. & Merz, B., 2017, In : Earth's Future. 5, 10, p. 953–965

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
File
vulnerability
damage
extreme event
analysis
attribute

Adaptation to Sea Level Rise: A Multidisciplinary Analysis for Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

Scussolini, P., Tran, T. V. T., Koks, E. E., Diaz Loaiza, M. A., Ho, L. P. & Lasage, R., 1 Dec 2017, In : Water Resources Research. 53, 12, p. 10841-10857 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access

A global framework for future costs and benefits of river-flood protection in urban areas

Ward, P. J., Jongman, B., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Bates, P., Botzen, W. J. W., Diaz Loaiza, M. A., Hallegatte, S., Kind, J. M., Kwadijk, J., Scussolini, P. & Winsemius, H. C., 2017, In : Nature Climate Change. 7, p. 642-646

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

natural disaster
urban area
river
costs
cost

A network-based detection scheme for the jet stream core

Molnos, S., Mamdouh, T., Petri, S., Nocke, T., Weinkauf, T. & Coumou, D., 10 Feb 2017, In : Earth System Dynamics. 8, 1, p. 75-89 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
jet stream
Northern Hemisphere
weather
detection
simulated annealing