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Personal information

Francisco Estrada is a researcher at the Department of Environmental Economics, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam. He also works in the Climate Change research group at the Center for Atmospheric Sciences of the Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (UNAM). His PhD work centered on developing a new global Stochastic Integrated Assessment Model. He obtained a MSc on Risk Management from the Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (ITAM). He was a contributing author for the Working Group II of the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report and he has been selected as expert reviewer for the Working Group II contribution for the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report. He has participated and coordinated research projects on the assessment of the potential impacts of climate change in agriculture, the economics of climate change and also on the generation of regional climate change scenarios.

Time-series econometrics, integrated assessment modeling, climate change scenarios and uncertainty.


2015: PhD, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

2010: MSc Risk Management, Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México (ITAM), México.

1999: B. Economics, Universidad Iberoamericana, Mexico.


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climate change Earth & Environmental Sciences
climate Earth & Environmental Sciences
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methodology Earth & Environmental Sciences
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warming Earth & Environmental Sciences

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Research Output 2009 2019

Causality from long-lived radiative forcings to the climate trend

Estrada, F. & Perron, P., 1 Jan 2019, In : Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences. 1436, 1, p. 195-205 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Nitrous Oxide
Carbon Dioxide

Systematic Sensitivity Analysis of the Full Economic Impacts of Sea Level Rise

Chatzivasileiadis, T., Estrada, F., Hofkes, M. W. & Tol, R. S. J., 13 Jan 2018, In : Computational Economics. p. 1-35 35 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Sea level
Sensitivity analysis

Characterizing and attributing the warming trend in sea and land surface temperatures

Estrada, F., Martins, L. F. & Perron, P., 2017, In : Atmosfera. 30, 2, p. 163-187 25 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
land surface
sea surface
surface temperature

Extracting and Analyzing the Warming Trend in Global and Hemispheric Temperatures

Estrada, F. & Perron, P., 1 Sep 2017, In : Journal of Time Series Analysis. 38, 5, p. 711-732 22 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Structural Change