dr. Hans de Moel


  • Room A-552, W&N-building

  • Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), De Boelelaan 1087

    1081 HV Amsterdam

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Personal profile

Personal information

Hans de Moel has been employed at the Institute for Environmental Studies since 2003 and currently works as an assistant professor in the field of flood risk management, climate change and adaptation. He is a certified university lecturer and teaches various BSc (Earth and Economy and Earth Sciences programs) and MSc (Environment and Resource Management program) courses. He aims to look in an integrated way at the natural system with its hazards, the impacts it can have on society and how this relates to the management of these hazards.

Academic interests are in the fields of flood risk management, water resources, hydrological modelling, land-use change, climate change (past and future), adaptation, and uncertainty analyses. The main focus of his research has been on flood risks, particularly the development and application of models assessing the consequences (damage/risk) of flooding. He has developed flood and risk models for, amongst others, the Netherlands (local and national scale), New York City and Ho-Chi-Minh City. He uses such models to support risk-based decision making by evaluating various adaptation measures and strategies, assessing the impact of climate change and socio-economic growth, and investigate uncertainties and sensitivities of such assessments and subsequent decisions.

Besides flood risk management, he is also involved in various other research fields. He uses hydrological modelling at various scales (small catchments to global) to investigate water scarcity, impacts of climate change and land management on coral reefs and the provisioning of ecosystem services. Additionally, he has worked on ocean acidification, land-use change, and food losses. Currently, he is involved in EU FP7 TURAS project on urban resilience and sustainability, the Dutch Knowledge for Climate project ‘Climate-proof Flood Risk Management’ and the TEEB for Tana study in Kenya.

GIS and spatial analyses, flood risk analysis and management, hydrological modelling, climate change impacts on hydrology


2012: PhD degree. Thesis entitled ‘Uncertainty in Flood Risk’. Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.

2006: MSc in Earth Sciences (cum laude) – Quarternary geology/ geo-ecology. Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.

2004: BSc in Earth Sciences – physical geography. Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.


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Research Output 2006 2019

Adoption of Individual Flood Damage Mitigation Measures in New York City: An Extension of Protection Motivation Theory

Botzen, W. J. W., Kunreuther, H., Czajkowski, J. & de Moel, H., Oct 2019, In : Risk Analysis. 39, 10, p. 2143-2159

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Flood damage
Flood insurance
Risk management

A global database of historic and real-time flood events based on social media

de Bruijn, J., de Moel, H., Jongman, B., de Ruiter, M., Wagemaker, J. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 9 Dec 2019, In : Scientific Data. 6, 1, 1 p., 311.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Social Media
social media
natural disaster
cost-benefit analysis
natural disaster
economic efficiency

An economic evaluation of adaptation pathways in coastal mega cities: An illustration for Los Angeles

de Ruig, L. T., Barnard, P. L., Botzen, W. J. W., Grifman, P., Hart, J. F., de Moel, H., Sadrpour, N. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 15 Aug 2019, In : Science of the Total Environment. 678, p. 647-659 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
Sea level
Risk management

Climate change and natural disasters: Government mitigation activities and public property demand response

Hein, W., Wilson, C., Lee, B., Rajapaksa, D., de Moel, H., Athukorala, W. & Managi, S., Mar 2019, In : Land Use Policy. 82, p. 436-443 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

beach erosion
natural disaster
property market

Activities 2008 2013

  • 6 Lecture / Presentation

Development and sensitivity analysis of an indirect risk model for the port of Rotterdam

E.E. Koks (Speaker), M. Bockarjova (Speaker), H. de Moel (Speaker), J.C.J.H. Aerts (Speaker)
10 Dec 2013

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic

Wateroverlast en overstromingen - interactie tussen mens en natuur

H. de Moel (Speaker)
17 Apr 2009

Activity: Lecture / PresentationProfessional

Klimaatverandering en overstromingsrisico's

H. de Moel (Speaker)
14 Apr 2009

Activity: Lecture / PresentationProfessional

Adaptation planning and practices: The Netherlands, climate change and adaptation

H. de Moel (Speaker), R. Lasage (Speaker)
30 Jun 2009

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic

Quantifying and attributing uncertainty in flood damage estimates

H. de Moel (Speaker), J.C.J.H. Aerts (Speaker)
21 Apr 2009

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic


Best Paper Award in the journal Risk Analysis in 2013.

J.C.J.H. Aerts (Recipient), W.J.W. Botzen (Recipient), N. Lin (Recipient), K. Emanuel (Recipient) & Hans de Moel (Recipient), 2013