Personal profile
Personal information
Dr. Hans de Moel works as an assistant professor in the field of natural hazard risk management, climate change and adaptation at the Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University, Amsterdam. He aims to look in an integrated way at the natural system with its hazards, the impacts it can have on society and how this relates to the management of these hazards.
His academic expertise are in the fields of flood risks, drought risks, hurricane risks, hail risks, water resources, hydrological modelling, land-use change, climate change (past and future), and adaptation. He has developed various risk models for countries or regions in the Netherlands, USA, Asia and Africa. He uses such physical hazard and risk models to support risk-based decision making by evaluating various adaptation measures and strategies, assessing the impact of climate change and socio-economic growth, and investigate uncertainties and sensitivities of such assessments and subsequent decisions.
He is a certified university lecturer and teaches in various water and environment related teaching programs both at BSc and MSc level. He has been the coordinator of the top-rated Hydrology MSc program for over five years, which he helped redevelop in 2014. He is also involved in capacity building projects such as for teaching staff at UY (Myanmar) and phd applicants from Africa.
Education
2012: PhD degree. Thesis entitled ‘Uncertainty in Flood Risk’. Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.
2006: MSc in Earth Sciences (cum laude) – Quarternary geology/ geo-ecology. Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.
2004: BSc in Earth Sciences – physical geography. Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.
Ancillary activities
No ancillary activities
Ancillary activities are updated daily
Expertise related to UN Sustainable Development Goals
In 2015, UN member states agreed to 17 global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to end poverty, protect the planet and ensure prosperity for all. This person’s work contributes towards the following SDG(s):
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SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities
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SDG 13 Climate Action
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Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
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An empirically derived high-resolution spatial windstorm risk model: an application for the Netherlands
Fonseca-Cerda, M. D. S., de Moel, H., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Botzen, W. J. W. & Haer, T., Jul 2026, In: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 141, 106192.Research output: Contribution to Journal › Article › Academic › peer-review
Open Access -
Beyond profit: Modelling the socio-hydrological impacts of agricultural insurance and drought adaptation
Kalthof, M. W. M. L., Di Baldassarre, G., Aerts, J. C. J. H., de Moel, H. & de Bruijn, J., Jul 2026, In: International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 141, p. 1-17 17 p., 106159.Research output: Contribution to Journal › Article › Academic › peer-review
Open Access -
Assessing the Effectiveness of Nature‐Based Solutions and Building‐Level Flood Risk Reduction Measures: An Open‐Source Coupled Model
Bril, V. C., de Bruijn, J., de Moel, H., Sadana, T., Busker, T., Botzen, W. J. W. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 3 Mar 2026, In: Water Resources Research. 62, 3, e2025WR041436.Research output: Contribution to Journal › Article › Academic › peer-review
Open Access -
Mangrove restoration and coastal flood adaptation: A global perspective on the potential for hybrid coastal defenses
Tiggeloven, T., van Zelst, V., Mortensen, E., van Wesenbeeck, B. K., Worthington, T. A., Spalding, M., de Moel, H. & Ward, P. J., 27 Jan 2026, In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 123, 4, p. 1-11 11 p., e2510980123.Research output: Contribution to Journal › Article › Academic › peer-review
Open Access -
Hailstorm prediction and loss assessment using high-resolution hazard and claims data
Fonseca-Cerda, M. D. S., de Moel, H., van Ederen, D., Schmid, T., Wouters, L., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Botzen, W. J. W. & Haer, T., Jan 2026, In: Atmospheric Research. 329, 108501.Research output: Contribution to Journal › Review article › Academic › peer-review
Open Access
Courses
Projects
- 6 Finished
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EDORA “Development and implementation of a drought impact database, a drought risk assessment methodology and a drought risk atlas”
de Moel, H. (Principal Investigator), Wens, M. (Project Researcher) & Grudnowska, A. (Project Researcher)
22/12/21 → 30/09/23
Project: Research
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RESILIENCE IN EUROPE THROUGH ACTIVATING CITY HUBS REACHING OUT TO USERS WITH TRIPLEA CLIMATE ADAPTATION TOOLS.
de Moel, H. (Project Researcher), Zhou, F. (Project Researcher), Botzen, W. (Principal Investigator), Endendijk, T. (Project Researcher), de Wolf, L. (Project Researcher) & Li, H. (Project Researcher)
1/10/21 → 31/03/25
Project: Research
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Resilience nEtwork of Smart Innovative cLImate-adapative rOoftops
van Veen, N. (Project Researcher), Haer, T. (Principal Investigator), de Moel, H. (Project Researcher), van der Grijp, N. (Project Researcher), Petrovics, D. (Project Researcher), Wens, M. (Project Researcher), Busker, T. (Project Researcher) & Tierolf, L. (Project Researcher)
1/01/19 → 30/04/22
Project: Research
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Palmawat contract 2
Aerts, J. (Principal Investigator), de Ruiter, M. (Project Researcher), de Moel, H. (Project Researcher), Ton, M. (Project Researcher), Dullaart, J. (Project Researcher), Wens, M. (Project Researcher), Busker, T. (Project Researcher), van Schendel, M. (Project Researcher), Leijnse, T. (Project Researcher) & Ingels, M. (Project Researcher)
1/01/18 → 31/12/23
Project: Research
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palmawat
Aerts, J. (Principal Investigator), de Ruiter, M. (Project Researcher), Wens, M. (Project Researcher), de Moel, H. (Project Researcher), Hagedoorn, L. (Project Researcher), Tierolf, L. (Project Researcher), Busker, T. (Project Researcher) & Sabino Siemons, A.-S. (Project Researcher)
1/06/16 → 31/12/22
Project: Research
Activities
- 6 Lecture / Presentation
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Development and sensitivity analysis of an indirect risk model for the port of Rotterdam
Koks, E. E. (Speaker), Bockarjova, M. (Speaker), de Moel, H. (Speaker) & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (Speaker)
10 Dec 2013Activity: Lecture / Presentation › Academic
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Klimaatverandering en overstromingsrisico's
de Moel, H. (Speaker)
14 Apr 2009Activity: Lecture / Presentation › Professional
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Quantifying and attributing uncertainty in flood damage estimates
de Moel, H. (Speaker) & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (Speaker)
21 Apr 2009Activity: Lecture / Presentation › Academic
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Wateroverlast en overstromingen - interactie tussen mens en natuur
de Moel, H. (Speaker)
17 Apr 2009Activity: Lecture / Presentation › Professional
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Adaptation planning and practices: The Netherlands, climate change and adaptation
de Moel, H. (Speaker) & Lasage, R. (Speaker)
30 Jun 2009Activity: Lecture / Presentation › Academic
Prizes / Grants
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2nd place Lloyd's Science of Risk Prize
Bloemendaal, N. (Recipient), Haigh, I. (Recipient), de Moel, H. (Recipient), Muis, S. (Recipient), Haarsma, R. J. (Recipient) & Aerts, J. (Recipient), 27 May 2021
Prize / Grant: Prize › Societal
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Best Paper Award in the journal Risk Analysis in 2013.
Aerts, J. C. J. H. (Recipient), Botzen, W. J. W. (Recipient), Lin, N. (Recipient), Emanuel, K. (Recipient) & de Moel, H. (Recipient), 2013
Prize / Grant: Prize › Academic
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Dutch Data Prize 2020
Bloemendaal, N. (Recipient), Muis, S. (Recipient), de Moel, H. (Recipient), Haigh, I. (Recipient), Aerts, J. (Recipient) & Haarsma, R. J. (Recipient), 18 Nov 2020
Prize / Grant: Prize › Societal
Datasets
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Data and model for "Urban development and its exposure to river flood risk in Southeast Asia"
Tierolf, L. (Creator), de Moel, H. (Creator) & van Vliet, J. (Creator), DataverseNL, 2021
DOI: 10.34894/NXJ8TP, https://doi.org/10.34894/NXJ8TP
Dataset / Software: Dataset
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African countries drought and flood risk profiles
Wens, M. (Creator) & de Moel, H. (Creator), United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction, 2019
http://riskprofilesundrr.org/riskprofiles/guidelines.html
Dataset / Software: Dataset
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STORM IBTrACS present climate synthetic tropical cyclone tracks
Bloemendaal, N. (Creator), Haigh, I. D. (Creator), de Moel, H. (Creator), Muis, S. (Creator), Haarsma, R. J. (Creator) & Aerts, J. (Creator), 4TU.ResearchData, Nov 2019
DOI: 10.4121/12706085.v3
Dataset / Software: Dataset
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Metadata record for: Generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using STORM
Bloemendaal, N. (Contributor), Haigh, I. D. (Contributor), de Moel, H. (Contributor), Muis, S. (Contributor), Haarsma, R. J. (Contributor) & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (Contributor), Figshare, 2020
DOI: 10.6084/m9.figshare.11733585, https://springernature.figshare.com/articles/Metadata_record_for_Generation_of_a_global_synthetic_tropical_cyclone_hazard_dataset_using_STORM/11733585
Dataset / Software: Dataset
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Shells weights from the core top of BC21WP7
de Moel, H. (Contributor), Ganssen, G. M. (Contributor), Peeters, F. J. C. (Contributor), Jung, S. J. A. (Contributor), Kroon, D. (Contributor), Brummer, G.-J. A. (Contributor) & Zeebe, R. E. (Contributor), Unknown, 9 Oct 2010
DOI: 10.1594/PANGAEA.746068, https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.746068
Dataset / Software: Dataset