J.C.J.H. Aerts

prof. dr.

  • Room C-554, W&N-building

  • Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), De Boelelaan 1087

    1081 HV Amsterdam

1992 …2018
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Personal profile

Personal information

Jeroen Aerts is director of the Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM) , the oldest multidisciplinary environmental research institute in the Netherlands. IVM has a total of 55 Staff and PhD’s divided over 3 departments. Within IVM, Jeroen is also head of the department ‘Water and Climate Risk’. Jeroen has an established an internationally- recognized leading position in the field of water and climate risk management with 12 key publications in Nature, Science and PNAS (H index: 41). In 2007 he was appointed to the chair in Risk and Insurance, and in 2012 to a second chair in Risk and Water management. Jeroen currently supervises a research group, with 6 academic staff, 20 PhD students and 5 post-docs addressing various aspects of water and climate risk management. He has developed and applied a wide range of assessment and modeling methods to analyze water risk (flood/drought) and climate adaptation at scales from local to global. The methods include: hydrological modeling, insurance, catastrophe modeling, agent based modeling, scenario analysis, pathways, and optimization. On the basis of scientific results in the area of climate and flood risk modeling, Jeroen was awarded by the prestigious NWO-VICI grant (1.5 mln Euros) in 2014. Jeroen also won the best paper award of the Journal of Risk Analysis in 2012 and 2013. He also won the Lloyds science of Risk prize in 2014, for his paper on flood risk in New York City, published in Science.

Jeroen started his career as a spatial GIS modeler and hydrological modeling specialist at Resource Analysis ltd. After conducting a PhD research at the University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB), Jeroen started working in 2002 at the VU University in Amsterdam. Since then, Jeroen has developed an internationally recognized flood risk research group, in close collaboration with MIT, Princeton, Wharton, IIASA, Columbia University, and London School of Economics. Jeroen also signed an agreement with Potsdam University (Germany) and Vienna University (Austria) for an advanced PhD exchange programme in the area of hydrology and Water Sciences. In early 2002, Jeroen co-initiated the first large scale climate adaptation research programme in the Netherlands (‘Klimaat voor Ruimte’, 110 Million Euros of FES funding) and was responsible for the setup and coordination of all climate adaptation research projects (24mln Euros). In 2010, jeroen co-initiated a second FES funded programme: ‘Knowlegde for Climate’, and was responsible for the coordination of all river and climate adaptation projects. Jeroen is scientific coordinator of the Connecting Delta Cities initiative under the Clinton C-40 global cities network, and Co-authored the OECD report on Water Security. His international work also includes research with Munich RE, Red Cross and UNISDR. Jeroen was advisor to Mayor Bloomberg of New York City on flood risk resilience issues, before and in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy. Finally, he is coordinator of the EU ENHANCE project on risk and Natural Hazards and programme director of the MSc Hydrology educational programme at VU Amsterdam.


Water management, Risk management, Insurance, Decision support, Adaptation, Optimization techniques, Climate change.


2002: PhD, Spatial Optimization techniques and Decision Support systems. UvA University of Amsterdam.

1992: MSc, Physical Geography, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, UvA University of Amsterdam


Ancillary activities

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Ancillary activities are updated daily

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Research Output 1992 2018

A global review of the impact of basis risk on index insurance

Yuzva, K., Botzen, W. J. W., Brouwer, R. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 2018, In : International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 28, p. 845-853

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

insured person

An interdisciplinary research agenda to explore the unintended consequences of structural flood protection

Di Baldassarre, G., Kreibich, H., Vorogushyn, S., Aerts, J. C. J. H., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., Barendrecht, M., Bates, P., Borga, M., Botzen, W. J. W., Bubeck, P., B, D. M., Carmen Llasat, M., Mazzoleni, M., Molinari, D., E, M., Mård, J., Petrucci, O., Scolobig, A., Viglione, A. & Ward, P. J., 2018, In : Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 22, p. 5629-5637 doi:10.5194/hess-22-5629-2018

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review


Escalating impacts of climate extremes on critical infrastructures in Europe

Forzieri, G., Bianchi, A., Batista e Silva, F., Marin Herrera, M. A., Leblois, A., Lavalle, C., Aerts, J. C. J. H. & Feyen, L., Jan 2018, In : Global Environmental Change. 48, p. 97-107

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access

Future extreme precipitation intensities based on a historic event

Manola, I., Van Den Hurk, B., de Moel, H. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 17 Jul 2018, In : Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 22, 7, p. 3777-3788 12 p.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
precipitation intensity
dew point

Global Modeling of Tropical Cyclone Storm Surges using High-Resolution Forecasts

Bloemendaal, N., Muis, S., Haarsma, R. J., Verlaan, M., Irazoqui Apechchea, M., de Moel, H., Ward, P. J. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 10 Sep 2018, In : Climate Dynamics.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

storm surge
tropical cyclone

Activities 2002 2013

  • 61 Lecture / Presentation

Are we ready? Trends in European flood risk and financing resources

Jongman, B. (Speaker), L. Bouwer (Speaker), S. Hochrainer-Stigler (Speaker), L. Feyen (Speaker), Botzen, W. J. W. (Speaker), Aerts, J. C. J. H. (Speaker), Ward, P. J. (Speaker)
10 Apr 2013

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic

Assessing the role of sand dams in water demand and water supply under climate change in Ethiopia

Lasage, R. (Speaker), Aerts, J. C. J. H. (Speaker), Verburg, P. H. (Speaker), S.S. Alemu (Speaker)
15 Oct 2013

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic

Nuclear safety and trends in global river flood risk

Aerts, J. C. J. H. (Speaker), Jongman, B. (Speaker), Ward, P. J. (Speaker), J.C.J. Kwadijk (Speaker), B. Wetzelaar (Speaker)
12 Apr 2013

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic

Dissecting risk: what explains patterns in global flood losses?

Jongman, B. (Speaker), H. Winsemius (Speaker), Aerts, J. C. J. H. (Speaker), W. Kron (Speaker), Ward, P. J. (Speaker)
12 Apr 2013

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic

Development and sensitivity analysis of an indirect risk model for the port of Rotterdam

Koks, E. E. (Speaker), M. Bockarjova (Speaker), de Moel, H. (Speaker), Aerts, J. C. J. H. (Speaker)
10 Dec 2013

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic


Best Paper Award in the journal Risk Analysis in 2013.

J.C.J.H. Aerts (Recipient), W.J.W. Botzen (Recipient), N. Lin (Recipient), K. Emanuel (Recipient) & H. de Moel (Recipient), 2013

Prize: Prize / AwardAcademic

Best Paper Award Risk Analysis

P. Bubeck (Recipient), W.J.W. Botzen (Recipient) & J.C.J.H. Aerts (Recipient), 2012

Prize: Prize / AwardAcademic

NWO PhD grant

A. Lucas (Recipient) & J.C.J.H. Aerts (Recipient), 2005

Prize: Prize / AwardAcademic

climate change