prof. dr. J.C.J.H. Aerts

prof. dr.

  • Room 8A-63, NU-building

  • Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), De Boelelaan 1111

    1081 HV Amsterdam

1992 …2020
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Personal profile

Personal information

Jeroen Aerts is director of the Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM) , the oldest multidisciplinary environmental research institute in the Netherlands. IVM has a total of 80 Staff and PhD’s divided over 4 departments. Within IVM, Jeroen is also head of the department ‘Water and Climate Risk’. Jeroen has an established an internationally recognized leading position in the field of water and climate risk management with 12 key publications in Nature, Science and PNAS (H index: 41). In 2007 he was appointed to the chair in Risk and Insurance, and in 2012 to a second chair in Risk and Water management. Jeroen currently supervises a research group, with 6 academic staff, 20 PhD students and 5 post-docs addressing various aspects of water and climate risk management. He has developed and applied a wide range of assessment and modeling methods to analyze water risk (flood/drought) and climate adaptation at scales from local to global. The methods include: hydrological modeling, insurance, catastrophe modeling, agent based modeling, scenario analysis, pathways, and optimization. On the basis of scientific results in the area of climate and flood risk modeling, Jeroen was awarded by the prestigious NWO-VICI grant (1.5 mln Euros) in 2014. Jeroen also won the best paper award of the Journal of Risk Analysis in 2012 and 2013. He also won the Lloyds science of Risk prize in 2014, for his paper on flood risk in New York City, published in Science.

Jeroen started his career as a spatial GIS modeler and hydrological modeling specialist at Resource Analysis ltd. After conducting a PhD research at the University of California, Santa Barbara (UCSB), Jeroen started working in 2002 at the VU University in Amsterdam. Since then, Jeroen has developed an internationally recognized flood risk research group, in close collaboration with MIT, Princeton, Wharton, IIASA, Columbia University, and London School of Economics. Jeroen also signed an agreement with Potsdam University (Germany) and Vienna University (Austria) for an advanced PhD exchange programme in the area of hydrology and Water Sciences. In early 2002, Jeroen co-initiated the first large scale climate adaptation research programme in the Netherlands (‘Klimaat voor Ruimte’, 110 Million Euros of FES funding) and was responsible for the setup and coordination of all climate adaptation research projects (24mln Euros). In 2010, jeroen co-initiated a second FES funded programme: ‘Knowlegde for Climate’, and was responsible for the coordination of all river and climate adaptation projects. Jeroen is scientific coordinator of the Connecting Delta Cities initiative under the Clinton C-40 global cities network, and Co-authored the OECD report on Water Security. His international work also includes research with Munich RE, Red Cross and UNISDR. Jeroen was advisor to Mayor Bloomberg of New York City on flood risk resilience issues, before and in the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy. Finally, he is coordinator of the EU ENHANCE project on risk and Natural Hazards and programme director of the MSc Hydrology educational programme at VU Amsterdam.


Water management, Risk management, Insurance, Decision support, Adaptation, Optimization techniques, Climate change.


2002: PhD, Spatial Optimization techniques and Decision Support systems. UvA University of Amsterdam.

1992: MSc, Physical Geography, Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, UvA University of Amsterdam


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Fingerprint Dive into the research topics where J.C.J.H. Aerts is active. These topic labels come from the works of this person. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • 8 Similar Profiles
flood damage Earth & Environmental Sciences
natural disaster Social Sciences
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damage Earth & Environmental Sciences
disaster Earth & Environmental Sciences
risk assessment Earth & Environmental Sciences
vulnerability Earth & Environmental Sciences

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Research Output 1992 2020

Generation of a global synthetic tropical cyclone hazard dataset using STORM

Bloemendaal, N., Haigh, I. D., de Moel, H., Muis, S., Haarsma, R. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 6 Feb 2020, In : Scientific Data. 40.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Tropical Cyclone

Hard or soft flood adaptation? Advantages of a hybrid strategy for Shanghai

Du, S., Scussolini, P., Ward, P., Zhang, M., Wen, J., Wang, L., Koks, E., Diaz Loaiza, M. A., Gao, J., Ke, Q. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 2020, In : Global Environmental Change. 61, 102037.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Open Access
climate change
capital market
market conditions
natural disaster

The safe development paradox: An agent-based model for flood risk under climate change in the European Union

Haer, T., Husby, T. G., Botzen, W. J. W. & Aerts, J. C. J. H., 1 Jan 2020, In : Global Environmental Change. 60, 102009.

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

European Union
natural disaster
climate change
population growth
Open Access
Psychological Adaptation
Systems Analysis
Risk assessment

Activities 2002 2013

  • 61 Lecture / Presentation

Development and sensitivity analysis of an indirect risk model for the port of Rotterdam

E.E. Koks (Speaker), M. Bockarjova (Speaker), H. de Moel (Speaker), J.C.J.H. Aerts (Speaker)
10 Dec 2013

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic

Assessing the role of sand dams in water demand and water supply under climate change in Ethiopia

R. Lasage (Speaker), J.C.J.H. Aerts (Speaker), P.H. Verburg (Speaker), S.S. Alemu (Speaker)
15 Oct 2013

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic

Nuclear safety and trends in global river flood risk

J.C.J.H. Aerts (Speaker), B. Jongman (Speaker), P.J. Ward (Speaker), J.C.J. Kwadijk (Speaker), B. Wetzelaar (Speaker)
12 Apr 2013

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic

Dissecting risk: what explains patterns in global flood losses?

B. Jongman (Speaker), H. Winsemius (Speaker), J.C.J.H. Aerts (Speaker), W. Kron (Speaker), P.J. Ward (Speaker)
12 Apr 2013

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic

Are we ready? Trends in European flood risk and financing resources

B. Jongman (Speaker), L. Bouwer (Speaker), S. Hochrainer-Stigler (Speaker), L. Feyen (Speaker), W.J.W. Botzen (Speaker), J.C.J.H. Aerts (Speaker), P.J. Ward (Speaker)
10 Apr 2013

Activity: Lecture / PresentationAcademic


Best Paper Award in the journal Risk Analysis in 2013.

J.C.J.H. Aerts (Recipient), W.J.W. Botzen (Recipient), N. Lin (Recipient), K. Emanuel (Recipient) & Hans de Moel (Recipient), 2013


Best Paper Award Risk Analysis

P. Bubeck (Recipient), W.J.W. Botzen (Recipient) & J.C.J.H. Aerts (Recipient), 2012


NWO PhD grant

André Lucas (Recipient) & J.C.J.H. Aerts (Recipient), 2005


climate change