A dynamic framework for flood risk

M.H. Barendrecht; A. Viglione; G. Blöschl

doi:10.1016/j.wasec.2017.02.001

A dynamic framework for flood risk

M.H. Barendrecht, A. Viglione, G. Blöschl

Research output: Contribution to Journal › Review article › Academic › peer-review

Abstract

© 2017 Elsevier B.V.Long-term feedbacks between humans and floods may lead to complex phenomena such as coping strategies, levee effects, call effects, adaptation effects, and poverty traps. Such phenomena cannot be represented by traditional flood risk approaches that are based on scenarios. Instead, dynamic models of the coupled human-flood interactions are needed. This paper reviews the phenomena, feedbacks and model types associated with this kind of models. The paper concludes that the models may play an important role in integrated flood risk management by exploring a wider range of possible futures, including unexpected phenomena, than is possible when using scenarios.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	3-11
Journal	Water Security
Volume	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasec.2017.02.001
Publication status	Published - 1 Jul 2017
Externally published	Yes

Funding

We would like to acknowledge funding from the Marie Sklodowska-Curie Innovative Training Network “A Large-Scale Systems Approach to Flood Risk Assessment and Management – SYSTEM-RISK“ (Grant Agreement number: 676027); the ERC FloodChange project (ERC Advanced Grant FP7-IDEAS-ERC-AG-PE10 291152); and the FWF Vienna Doctoral Programme on Water Resource Systems (W1219-N22).

Funders	Funder number
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme	676027
Austrian Science Fund	W1219-N22

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10.1016/j.wasec.2017.02.001

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title = "A dynamic framework for flood risk",

abstract = "{\textcopyright} 2017 Elsevier B.V.Long-term feedbacks between humans and floods may lead to complex phenomena such as coping strategies, levee effects, call effects, adaptation effects, and poverty traps. Such phenomena cannot be represented by traditional flood risk approaches that are based on scenarios. Instead, dynamic models of the coupled human-flood interactions are needed. This paper reviews the phenomena, feedbacks and model types associated with this kind of models. The paper concludes that the models may play an important role in integrated flood risk management by exploring a wider range of possible futures, including unexpected phenomena, than is possible when using scenarios.",

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AB - © 2017 Elsevier B.V.Long-term feedbacks between humans and floods may lead to complex phenomena such as coping strategies, levee effects, call effects, adaptation effects, and poverty traps. Such phenomena cannot be represented by traditional flood risk approaches that are based on scenarios. Instead, dynamic models of the coupled human-flood interactions are needed. This paper reviews the phenomena, feedbacks and model types associated with this kind of models. The paper concludes that the models may play an important role in integrated flood risk management by exploring a wider range of possible futures, including unexpected phenomena, than is possible when using scenarios.

U2 - 10.1016/j.wasec.2017.02.001

DO - 10.1016/j.wasec.2017.02.001

M3 - Review article

SN - 2468-3124

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JO - Water Security

JF - Water Security

ER -

A dynamic framework for flood risk

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