A misspecification test for the higher order co-moments of the factor model

Wanbo Lu*, Dong Yang, Kris Boudt

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

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Abstract

The traditional estimation of higher order co-moments of non-normal random variables by the sample analog of the expectation faces a curse of dimensionality, as the number of parameters increases steeply when the dimension increases. Imposing a factor structure on the process solves this problem; however, it leads to the challenging task of selecting an appropriate factor model. This paper contributes by proposing a test that exploits the following feature: when the factor model is correctly specified, the higher order co-moments of the unexplained return variation are sparse. It recommends a general to specific approach for selecting the factor model by choosing the most parsimonious specification for which the sparsity assumption is satisfied. This approach uses a Wald or Gumbel test statistic for testing the joint statistical significance of the co-moments that are zero when the factor model is correctly specified. The asymptotic distribution of the test is derived. An extensive simulation study confirms the good finite sample properties of the approach. This paper illustrates the practical usefulness of factor selection on daily returns of random subsets of S&P 100 constituents.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)471-488
Number of pages18
JournalStatistics
Volume53
Issue number3
Early online date17 Jan 2019
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2019

Funding

Wanbo Lu’s research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation of China (71771187, 71101118), the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University (NCET–13–0961), and the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (JBK170970) of China. Dong Yang’s research is supported in part by China Scholarship Council, the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (JBK1807047, JBK1805004) of China, and the Joint Lab of Data Science and Business Intelligence at Southwestern University of Finance and Economics.

FundersFunder number
Southwestern University of Finance and Economics
National Natural Science Foundation of China71771187, 71101118
China Scholarship CouncilJBK1805004, JBK1807047
Program for New Century Excellent Talents in UniversityNCET–13–0961
Fundamental Research Funds for the Central UniversitiesJBK170970

    Keywords

    • 62F03
    • 91B25
    • curse of dimensionality
    • diagnostic test
    • Factor models
    • higher order co-moments
    • sparsity

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