Abstract
The sparse nature of observational records across the mid- to high latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere limits the ability to place late-twentieth-century environmental changes in the context of long-term (multidecadal and centennial) variability. Historical records from subantarctic islands offer considerable potential for developing highly resolved records of change. In 1905, a whaling and meteorological station was established at Grytviken on subantarctic South Georgia in the South Atlantic (54°S, 36°W), providing near-continuous daily observations through to present day. This paper reports a new, daily observational record of temperature and precipitation from Grytviken, which is compared to regional datasets and historical reanalysis. The authors find a shift toward increasingly warmer daytime extremes commencing from the mid-twentieth century and accompanied by warmer nighttime temperatures, with an average rate of temperature rise of 0.13°C decade-1 over the period 1907-2016 (p < 0.0001). Analysis of these data and reanalysis products suggest a change of pervasive synoptic conditions across the mid- to high latitudes since the mid-twentieth century, characterized by stronger westerly airflow and associated warm föhn winds across South Georgia. This rapid rate of warming and associated declining habitat suitability has important negative implications for biodiversity, including the survival of key marine biota in the region.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 1743-1755 |
Number of pages | 13 |
Journal | Journal of Climate |
Volume | 31 |
Issue number | 5 |
Early online date | 7 Feb 2018 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Mar 2018 |
Funding
Acknowledgments. CT and ZT acknowledge the support of the Australian Research Council (FL100100195). This study is a contribution to the Atmospheric Circulation Reconstructions over the Earth (ACRE) initiative. RA is supported by funding from the Joint UK BEIS/ Defra Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme (GA01101) and acknowledges the University of Southern Queensland, Toowoomba, Australia, where he is an adjunct professor. Support for the Twentieth Century Reanalysis project version 2c dataset is provided by the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science—Biological and Environmental Research (BER) and by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Program Office. We thank Gil Compo for valuable comments on the manuscript.
Funders | Funder number |
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Defra Met Office | GA01101 |
Joint UK BEIS | |
U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science—Biological and Environmental Research | |
U.S. Department of Energy | |
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration | |
Biological and Environmental Research | |
Natural Environment Research Council | NE/N006348/1, NE/N006038/1, bas0100032 |
Australian Research Council | FL100100195 |
University of Southern Queensland |
Keywords
- Climate change
- Climate records
- Surface temperature