A Scenario Approach to the Simonshaven Case

Peter van Koppen, A.R. Mackor

Research output: Contribution to JournalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

In this paper, we present a scenario approach and apply it to the Simonshaven case. We offer an outline in which we spell out the core notions of the scenario approach. Next, we give a summing up of criteria to assess and compare scenarios. We use examples of the Simonshaven case to illustrate how the scenario-approach works. The last section contains a discussion of the main strengths and weaknesses of the scenario approach and a brief comparison with argumentation-based and probabilistic approaches.

Original languageEnglish
JournalTopics in Cognitive Science
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2019

Fingerprint

scenario
argumentation

Keywords

  • Coherence
  • Discriminating evidence
  • Evidence
  • Falsification
  • Inference to the best explanation
  • Law
  • Novel facts
  • Scenario

Cite this

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abstract = "In this paper, we present a scenario approach and apply it to the Simonshaven case. We offer an outline in which we spell out the core notions of the scenario approach. Next, we give a summing up of criteria to assess and compare scenarios. We use examples of the Simonshaven case to illustrate how the scenario-approach works. The last section contains a discussion of the main strengths and weaknesses of the scenario approach and a brief comparison with argumentation-based and probabilistic approaches.",
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A Scenario Approach to the Simonshaven Case. / van Koppen, Peter; Mackor, A.R.

In: Topics in Cognitive Science, 2019.

Research output: Contribution to JournalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

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T1 - A Scenario Approach to the Simonshaven Case

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AU - Mackor, A.R.

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AB - In this paper, we present a scenario approach and apply it to the Simonshaven case. We offer an outline in which we spell out the core notions of the scenario approach. Next, we give a summing up of criteria to assess and compare scenarios. We use examples of the Simonshaven case to illustrate how the scenario-approach works. The last section contains a discussion of the main strengths and weaknesses of the scenario approach and a brief comparison with argumentation-based and probabilistic approaches.

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KW - Discriminating evidence

KW - Evidence

KW - Falsification

KW - Inference to the best explanation

KW - Law

KW - Novel facts

KW - Scenario

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