In this paper, we present a scenario approach and apply it to the Simonshaven case. We offer an outline in which we spell out the core notions of the scenario approach. Next, we give a summing up of criteria to assess and compare scenarios. We use examples of the Simonshaven case to illustrate how the scenario-approach works. The last section contains a discussion of the main strengths and weaknesses of the scenario approach and a brief comparison with argumentation-based and probabilistic approaches.
Bibliographical noteSpecial Issue: Models of Rational Proof in Criminal Law Editors: Henry Prakken, Floris Bex and Anne Ruth Mackor ‐ Levels of Explanation in Cognitive Science: From Molecules to Cultures Editors: Matteo Colombo and Markus Knauff.
- Discriminating evidence
- Inference to the best explanation
- Novel facts