A Temporal-Causal Model for Spread of Messages in Disasters

E. Fernandes de Mello Araujo, Annelore Franke, Rukshar Wagid Hosain

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

In this paper we describe a temporal-causal model for the spread of messages in disaster situations based on emotion contagion and awareness works. An evaluation of the model has been done by simulation experiments and mathematical analysis. Parameter tuning was done based on two scenarios, including a credible message and a dubious message. The results are useful for the prediction of reactions during disasters, and can be extended to other applications that involve panic and supportive systems to assist people.
LanguageEnglish
Title of host publicationConference on Computational Collective Intelligence Technologies and Applications
PublisherSpringer/Verlag
Pages386-397
Volume10449
ISBN (Electronic)978-3-319-67077-5
ISBN (Print)978-3-319-67076-8
DOIs
StatePublished - 7 Sep 2017

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Disasters
Tuning
Experiments

Keywords

  • Temporal-causal modeling
  • Disaster
  • Agent-based model

Cite this

Fernandes de Mello Araujo, E., Franke, A., & Wagid Hosain, R. (2017). A Temporal-Causal Model for Spread of Messages in Disasters. In Conference on Computational Collective Intelligence Technologies and Applications (Vol. 10449, pp. 386-397). Springer/Verlag. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-67077-5_37
Fernandes de Mello Araujo, E. ; Franke, Annelore ; Wagid Hosain, Rukshar. / A Temporal-Causal Model for Spread of Messages in Disasters. Conference on Computational Collective Intelligence Technologies and Applications. Vol. 10449 Springer/Verlag, 2017. pp. 386-397
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Fernandes de Mello Araujo, E, Franke, A & Wagid Hosain, R 2017, A Temporal-Causal Model for Spread of Messages in Disasters. in Conference on Computational Collective Intelligence Technologies and Applications. vol. 10449, Springer/Verlag, pp. 386-397. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-67077-5_37

A Temporal-Causal Model for Spread of Messages in Disasters. / Fernandes de Mello Araujo, E.; Franke, Annelore; Wagid Hosain, Rukshar.

Conference on Computational Collective Intelligence Technologies and Applications. Vol. 10449 Springer/Verlag, 2017. p. 386-397.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

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Fernandes de Mello Araujo E, Franke A, Wagid Hosain R. A Temporal-Causal Model for Spread of Messages in Disasters. In Conference on Computational Collective Intelligence Technologies and Applications. Vol. 10449. Springer/Verlag. 2017. p. 386-397. Available from, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-67077-5_37