TY - JOUR
T1 - Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial
AU - Scussolini, Paolo
AU - Bakker, Pepijn
AU - Guo, Chuncheng
AU - Stepanek, Christian
AU - Zhang, Qiong
AU - Braconnot, Pascale
AU - Cao, Jian
AU - Guarino, Maria-Vittoria
AU - Coumou, Dim
AU - Prange, Matthias
AU - Ward, Philip J.
AU - Renssen, Hans
AU - Kageyama, Masa
AU - Otto-Bliesner, Bette
AU - Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
PY - 2019/11/20
Y1 - 2019/11/20
N2 - The last extended time period when climate may have been warmer than today was during the Last Interglacial (LIG; ca. 129 to 120 thousand years ago). However, a global view of LIG precipitation is lacking. Here, seven new LIG climate models are compared to the first global database of proxies for LIG precipitation. In this way, models are assessed in their ability to capture important hydroclimatic processes during a different climate. The models can reproduce the proxy-based positive precipitation anomalies from the preindustrial period over much of the boreal continents. Over the Southern Hemisphere, proxy-model agreement is partial. In models, LIG boreal monsoons have 42% wider area than in the preindustrial and produce 55% more precipitation and 50% more extreme precipitation. Austral monsoons are weaker. The mechanisms behind these changes are consistent with stronger summer radiative forcing over boreal high latitudes and with the associated higher temperatures during the LIG.
AB - The last extended time period when climate may have been warmer than today was during the Last Interglacial (LIG; ca. 129 to 120 thousand years ago). However, a global view of LIG precipitation is lacking. Here, seven new LIG climate models are compared to the first global database of proxies for LIG precipitation. In this way, models are assessed in their ability to capture important hydroclimatic processes during a different climate. The models can reproduce the proxy-based positive precipitation anomalies from the preindustrial period over much of the boreal continents. Over the Southern Hemisphere, proxy-model agreement is partial. In models, LIG boreal monsoons have 42% wider area than in the preindustrial and produce 55% more precipitation and 50% more extreme precipitation. Austral monsoons are weaker. The mechanisms behind these changes are consistent with stronger summer radiative forcing over boreal high latitudes and with the associated higher temperatures during the LIG.
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U2 - 10.1126/sciadv.aax7047
DO - 10.1126/sciadv.aax7047
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85075570755
VL - 5
SP - 1
EP - 12
JO - Science advances
JF - Science advances
SN - 2375-2548
IS - 11
M1 - eaax7047
ER -