Abstract
Land use models play an important role in exploring future land change dynamics and are instrumental to support the integration of knowledge in land system science. However, only modest progress has been made in achieving these aims due to insufficient model evaluation and limited representation of the underlying socio-ecological processes. We discuss how land use models can better represent multi-scalar dynamics, human agency and demand-supply relations, and how we can achieve learning from model evaluation. By addressing these issues we outline pathways towards a new generation of land use models that allow not only the assessment of future land cover pattern changes, but also stimulate envisioning future land use by society to support debate on sustainability solutions and help design alternative solutions.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 77-85 |
| Number of pages | 9 |
| Journal | Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability |
| Volume | 38 |
| Early online date | 4 Jun 2019 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Jun 2019 |
Funding
PV would like to acknowledge funding from European Research Council grant GLOLAND (Grant No. 311819 ). PA would like to acknowledge support by the UK’s Global Food Security Programme project Resilience of the UK food system to Global Shocks (BB/N020707/1). NM would like to acknowledge the support of an award from the U.S. National Science Foundation EAGER ISN # #1837698. MR would like to acknowledge the support of the European Commission funded IMPRESSIONS project (FP7).
| Funders | Funder number |
|---|---|
| U.S. National Science Foundation | 1837698 |
| National Science Foundation | |
| Seventh Framework Programme | 311819 |
| Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council | BB/N020707/1 |
| European Commission | |
| European Research Council | |
| Seventh Framework Programme |
