Beyond land cover change: towards a new generation of land use models

Peter H. Verburg; Peter Alexander; Tom Evans; Nicholas R. Magliocca; Ziga Malek; Mark DA Rounsevell; Jasper van Vliet

doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2019.05.002

Beyond land cover change: towards a new generation of land use models

Peter H. Verburg
, Peter Alexander
, Tom Evans
, Nicholas R. Magliocca
, Ziga Malek
, Mark DA Rounsevell
, Jasper van Vliet

Environmental Geography

Research output: Contribution to Journal › Review article › Academic › peer-review

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Abstract

Land use models play an important role in exploring future land change dynamics and are instrumental to support the integration of knowledge in land system science. However, only modest progress has been made in achieving these aims due to insufficient model evaluation and limited representation of the underlying socio-ecological processes. We discuss how land use models can better represent multi-scalar dynamics, human agency and demand-supply relations, and how we can achieve learning from model evaluation. By addressing these issues we outline pathways towards a new generation of land use models that allow not only the assessment of future land cover pattern changes, but also stimulate envisioning future land use by society to support debate on sustainability solutions and help design alternative solutions.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	77-85
Number of pages	9
Journal	Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability
Volume	38
Early online date	4 Jun 2019
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2019.05.002
Publication status	Published - Jun 2019

Funding

PV would like to acknowledge funding from European Research Council grant GLOLAND (Grant No. 311819 ). PA would like to acknowledge support by the UK’s Global Food Security Programme project Resilience of the UK food system to Global Shocks (BB/N020707/1). NM would like to acknowledge the support of an award from the U.S. National Science Foundation EAGER ISN # #1837698. MR would like to acknowledge the support of the European Commission funded IMPRESSIONS project (FP7).

Funders	Funder number
European Commission
UK Research and Innovation
Seventh Framework Programme	311819
European Research Council	BB/N020707/1
National Science Foundation	1837698
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council	BB/N020707/1

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 15 Life on Land

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10.1016/j.cosust.2019.05.002

Beyond land cover changeFinal published version, 1.05 MBLicence: Article 25fa Dutch Copyright Act

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Cite this

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title = "Beyond land cover change: towards a new generation of land use models",

abstract = "Land use models play an important role in exploring future land change dynamics and are instrumental to support the integration of knowledge in land system science. However, only modest progress has been made in achieving these aims due to insufficient model evaluation and limited representation of the underlying socio-ecological processes. We discuss how land use models can better represent multi-scalar dynamics, human agency and demand-supply relations, and how we can achieve learning from model evaluation. By addressing these issues we outline pathways towards a new generation of land use models that allow not only the assessment of future land cover pattern changes, but also stimulate envisioning future land use by society to support debate on sustainability solutions and help design alternative solutions.",

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AU - Rounsevell, Mark DA

AU - van Vliet, Jasper

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M3 - Review article

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VL - 38

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JO - Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability

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ER -

Beyond land cover change: towards a new generation of land use models

Abstract

Funding

UN SDGs

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