Bootstrapping Network Autoregressive Models for Testing Linearity

Mirko Armillotta*, Konstantinos Fokianos, Ioannis Krikidis

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book / Report / Conference proceedingChapterAcademicpeer-review

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Abstract

We develop methodology for network data with special attention to epidemic network spatio-temporal structures. We provide estimation methodology for linear network autoregressive models for both continuous and count multivariate time series. A study of non-linear models for inference under the assumption of known network structure is provided. We propose a family of test statistics for testing linearity of the imposed model. In particular, we compare empirically two bootstrap versions of a supremum-type quasi-score test. Synthetic data are employed to demonstrate the validity of the methodological results. Finally, an epidemic application of the proposed methodology to daily COVID-19 cases detected on province-level geographical network in Italy complements the work.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationData Science in Applications
EditorsGintautas Dzemyda, Jolita Bernatavičienė, Janusz Kacprzyk
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages99-116
Number of pages18
ISBN (Electronic)9783031244537
ISBN (Print)9783031244520, 9783031244551
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023

Publication series

NameStudies in Computational Intelligence
PublisherSpringer
Volume1084
ISSN (Print)1860-949X
ISSN (Electronic)1860-9503

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
Acknowledgements This work has been co-financed by the European Regional Development Fund and the Republic of Cyprus through the Research and Innovation Foundation, under the project INFRASTRUCTURES/1216/0017 (IRIDA).

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.

Keywords

  • Bootstrap
  • Contraction
  • Hypothesis testing
  • Identification
  • Increasing dimension
  • Multivariate time series
  • Network analysis
  • Nonlinear autoregression
  • Nuisance parameter
  • Quasi-likelihood
  • Score test

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