The 2UP model – to an Urban Preview – is developed for the spatially explicit simulation of the future growth of cities and population at a global scale. The model describes urban land use at a fine 30” spatial resolution (approx. 1km near the equator). In the current version of the model, the allocation of urban land use is mainly based on current population densities. To improve this calibration PBL has requested Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam to apply a more advanced, statistics-based calibration procedure that links observed land-use patterns to spatially explicit drivers of urban development. The output of this calibration effort can be used to define the suitability for urban and in the 2UP model. This short memo describes the method applied in calibration and discusses the results.
|Publisher||Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam|
|Commissioning body||The Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL)|
|Number of pages||11|
|Publication status||Published - 19 Dec 2017|