Can we reconcile atmospheric estimates of the Northern terrestrial carbon sink with land-based accounting?

Philippe Ciais, Josep G. Canadell, Sebastiaan Luyssaert, Frédéric Chevallier, Anatoly Shvidenko, Zegbeu Poussi, Matthias Jonas, Philippe Peylin, Anthony Wayne King, Ernest Detlef Schulze, Shilong Piao, Christian Rödenbeck, Wouter Peters, François Marie Bréon

Research output: Contribution to JournalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

We estimate the northern hemisphere (NH) terrestrial carbon sink by comparing four recent atmospheric inversions with land-based C accounting data for six large northern regions. The mean NH terrestrial CO2 sink from the inversion models is 1.7PgCyear-1 over the period 2000-2004. The uncertainty of this estimate is based on the typical individual (1-sigma) precision of one inversion (0.9PgCyear-1) and is consistent with the min-max range of the four inversion mean estimates (0.8PgCyear-1). Inversions agree within their uncertainty for the distribution of the NH sink of CO2 in longitude, with Russia being the largest sink. The land-based accounting estimate of NH carbon sink is 1.7PgCyear-1 for the sum of the six regions studied. The 1-sigma uncertainty of the land-based estimate (0.3PgCyear-1) is smaller than that of atmospheric inversions, but no independent land-based flux estimate is available to derive a 'between accounting model' uncertainty. Encouragingly, the top-down atmospheric and the bottom-up land-based methods converge to consistent mean estimates within their respective errors, increasing the confidence in the overall budget. These results also confirm the continued critical role of NH terrestrial ecosystems in slowing down the atmospheric accumulation of anthropogenic CO2.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)225-230
Number of pages6
JournalCurrent Opinion in Environmental Sustainability
Volume2
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2010

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carbon sink
Northern Hemisphere
uncertainty
terrestrial ecosystem
budget
Russia
confidence
accounting
land
inversion
atmospheric inversion

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Ciais, Philippe ; Canadell, Josep G. ; Luyssaert, Sebastiaan ; Chevallier, Frédéric ; Shvidenko, Anatoly ; Poussi, Zegbeu ; Jonas, Matthias ; Peylin, Philippe ; King, Anthony Wayne ; Schulze, Ernest Detlef ; Piao, Shilong ; Rödenbeck, Christian ; Peters, Wouter ; Bréon, François Marie. / Can we reconcile atmospheric estimates of the Northern terrestrial carbon sink with land-based accounting?. In: Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability. 2010 ; Vol. 2, No. 4. pp. 225-230.
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title = "Can we reconcile atmospheric estimates of the Northern terrestrial carbon sink with land-based accounting?",
abstract = "We estimate the northern hemisphere (NH) terrestrial carbon sink by comparing four recent atmospheric inversions with land-based C accounting data for six large northern regions. The mean NH terrestrial CO2 sink from the inversion models is 1.7PgCyear-1 over the period 2000-2004. The uncertainty of this estimate is based on the typical individual (1-sigma) precision of one inversion (0.9PgCyear-1) and is consistent with the min-max range of the four inversion mean estimates (0.8PgCyear-1). Inversions agree within their uncertainty for the distribution of the NH sink of CO2 in longitude, with Russia being the largest sink. The land-based accounting estimate of NH carbon sink is 1.7PgCyear-1 for the sum of the six regions studied. The 1-sigma uncertainty of the land-based estimate (0.3PgCyear-1) is smaller than that of atmospheric inversions, but no independent land-based flux estimate is available to derive a 'between accounting model' uncertainty. Encouragingly, the top-down atmospheric and the bottom-up land-based methods converge to consistent mean estimates within their respective errors, increasing the confidence in the overall budget. These results also confirm the continued critical role of NH terrestrial ecosystems in slowing down the atmospheric accumulation of anthropogenic CO2.",
author = "Philippe Ciais and Canadell, {Josep G.} and Sebastiaan Luyssaert and Fr{\'e}d{\'e}ric Chevallier and Anatoly Shvidenko and Zegbeu Poussi and Matthias Jonas and Philippe Peylin and King, {Anthony Wayne} and Schulze, {Ernest Detlef} and Shilong Piao and Christian R{\"o}denbeck and Wouter Peters and Br{\'e}on, {Fran{\cc}ois Marie}",
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doi = "10.1016/j.cosust.2010.06.008",
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Ciais, P, Canadell, JG, Luyssaert, S, Chevallier, F, Shvidenko, A, Poussi, Z, Jonas, M, Peylin, P, King, AW, Schulze, ED, Piao, S, Rödenbeck, C, Peters, W & Bréon, FM 2010, 'Can we reconcile atmospheric estimates of the Northern terrestrial carbon sink with land-based accounting?' Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, vol. 2, no. 4, pp. 225-230. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2010.06.008

Can we reconcile atmospheric estimates of the Northern terrestrial carbon sink with land-based accounting? / Ciais, Philippe; Canadell, Josep G.; Luyssaert, Sebastiaan; Chevallier, Frédéric; Shvidenko, Anatoly; Poussi, Zegbeu; Jonas, Matthias; Peylin, Philippe; King, Anthony Wayne; Schulze, Ernest Detlef; Piao, Shilong; Rödenbeck, Christian; Peters, Wouter; Bréon, François Marie.

In: Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, Vol. 2, No. 4, 10.2010, p. 225-230.

Research output: Contribution to JournalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

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T1 - Can we reconcile atmospheric estimates of the Northern terrestrial carbon sink with land-based accounting?

AU - Ciais, Philippe

AU - Canadell, Josep G.

AU - Luyssaert, Sebastiaan

AU - Chevallier, Frédéric

AU - Shvidenko, Anatoly

AU - Poussi, Zegbeu

AU - Jonas, Matthias

AU - Peylin, Philippe

AU - King, Anthony Wayne

AU - Schulze, Ernest Detlef

AU - Piao, Shilong

AU - Rödenbeck, Christian

AU - Peters, Wouter

AU - Bréon, François Marie

PY - 2010/10

Y1 - 2010/10

N2 - We estimate the northern hemisphere (NH) terrestrial carbon sink by comparing four recent atmospheric inversions with land-based C accounting data for six large northern regions. The mean NH terrestrial CO2 sink from the inversion models is 1.7PgCyear-1 over the period 2000-2004. The uncertainty of this estimate is based on the typical individual (1-sigma) precision of one inversion (0.9PgCyear-1) and is consistent with the min-max range of the four inversion mean estimates (0.8PgCyear-1). Inversions agree within their uncertainty for the distribution of the NH sink of CO2 in longitude, with Russia being the largest sink. The land-based accounting estimate of NH carbon sink is 1.7PgCyear-1 for the sum of the six regions studied. The 1-sigma uncertainty of the land-based estimate (0.3PgCyear-1) is smaller than that of atmospheric inversions, but no independent land-based flux estimate is available to derive a 'between accounting model' uncertainty. Encouragingly, the top-down atmospheric and the bottom-up land-based methods converge to consistent mean estimates within their respective errors, increasing the confidence in the overall budget. These results also confirm the continued critical role of NH terrestrial ecosystems in slowing down the atmospheric accumulation of anthropogenic CO2.

AB - We estimate the northern hemisphere (NH) terrestrial carbon sink by comparing four recent atmospheric inversions with land-based C accounting data for six large northern regions. The mean NH terrestrial CO2 sink from the inversion models is 1.7PgCyear-1 over the period 2000-2004. The uncertainty of this estimate is based on the typical individual (1-sigma) precision of one inversion (0.9PgCyear-1) and is consistent with the min-max range of the four inversion mean estimates (0.8PgCyear-1). Inversions agree within their uncertainty for the distribution of the NH sink of CO2 in longitude, with Russia being the largest sink. The land-based accounting estimate of NH carbon sink is 1.7PgCyear-1 for the sum of the six regions studied. The 1-sigma uncertainty of the land-based estimate (0.3PgCyear-1) is smaller than that of atmospheric inversions, but no independent land-based flux estimate is available to derive a 'between accounting model' uncertainty. Encouragingly, the top-down atmospheric and the bottom-up land-based methods converge to consistent mean estimates within their respective errors, increasing the confidence in the overall budget. These results also confirm the continued critical role of NH terrestrial ecosystems in slowing down the atmospheric accumulation of anthropogenic CO2.

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U2 - 10.1016/j.cosust.2010.06.008

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