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Cascading continental-scale floods across Europe in 1342–1343

  • Andrea Kiss*
  • , Alberto Viglione
  • , Mariano Barriendos
  • , Silvia Enzi
  • , Martin Bauch
  • , Kris Decker
  • , Nicolas Maughan
  • , Dag Retsö
  • , Astrid Ogilvie
  • , Miriam Bertola
  • , Tim Soens
  • , Libor Elleder
  • , Rudolf Brázdil
  • , Kathleen Pribyl
  • , Juraj Parajka
  • , Ioannis Telelis
  • , Inês Amorim
  • , Josep Barriendos
  • , Oliver Böhm
  • , Gerardo Benito
  • Chiara Bertolin, Dario Camuffo, Denis Coeur, Gaston Demarée, Radoslaw Doktor, Markus Dotterweich, Rüdiger Glaser, Jürgen Komma, Neil Macdonald, Hrvoje Petrić, Christian Rohr, Petra Schmocker-Fackel, Lothar Schulte, Willem H.J. Toonen, Oliver Wetter, Günter Blöschl*
*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Europe has experienced extreme floods in recent decades. However, even larger floods are possible and must be considered in flood risk management1,2. Their characteristics can be clarified by analysing the largest documented historical floods. In Central Europe, the Magdalena Flood of July 1342 is usually considered the largest of the last millennium; however, knowledge of its characteristics is incomplete3, 4, 5, 6–7. Here we show that 16 major flood events occurred across much of Europe between late 1341 and 1343. Four of these events had return periods of 500–1,000 years (the Magdalena, Bartholomew, Candlemas and Jacob Floods). Although Magdalena was thought previously to be the only extreme European flood in 13423,7, our new documentary dataset suggests that it formed part of a broader sequence. The year with the greatest number of extreme floods during the past 700 years was 1342, and 1343 ranks among the top ten. This highly unusual sequence of floods had substantial socio-economic impacts, including a paradigm shift in flood mitigation measures in Europe. A series of volcanic eruptions along with multi-annual Arctic sea ice retreat is a plausible cause of this flood sequence. Clusters of extreme floods occurring within a few months are rarely considered in risk management8. Quick and proactive risk strategies are needed that account for this eventuality.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)638-645
Number of pages8
JournalNature
Volume656
Issue number8128
Early online date12 Aug 2026
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 20 Aug 2026

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2026.

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