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Cause for celebration or concern? Voter reactions to rising house prices

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Little is known about voters’ demands in response to rising house prices. We argue that voters’ house-price perceptions and housing policy preferences depend on countries’ differing economic institutions. In the UK’s liberal welfare and credit regimes, we expect voters to view house-price growth as a comparatively positive sign for the economy and show little demand for policies restraining prices. In Germany’s generous welfare and restrictive credit regimes, we expect voters to view house-price appreciation with more skepticism and demand policies restraining prices. First, through a custom survey, we experimentally demonstrate that British homeowners regard house-price growth as a sign of economic health, while German homeowners and renters from both countries do not. Second, we find that German voters, both homeowners and renters, support policies restraining house prices more so than their British equivalents. Our findings suggest that similar types of voters have different housing attitudes in differing institutional contexts.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1352-1388
Number of pages37
JournalComparative Political Studies
Volume58
Issue number7
Early online date30 Aug 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2024.

Funding

We would like to thank Charlotte Bartels, Asli Cansunar, Nicholas Fraser, Hanno Hilbig, Alison Johnston, Dustin Voss, Andreas Wiedemann, and the three anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments on earlier versions of this article. We are also grateful for financial support provided by the Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies (CES) at Harvard University. The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: This work was supported by the Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies, Harvard University.

Funders
Council for European Studies
Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies
Harvard University

    Keywords

    • Germany
    • house prices
    • housing affordability
    • housing policy
    • policy preferences
    • social policy
    • survey
    • United Kingdom

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