Climate change and international tourism: A simulation study

J.M. Hamilton; D.J. Maddison; R.S.J. Tol

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.12.009

Climate change and international tourism: A simulation study

J.M. Hamilton, D.J. Maddison, R.S.J. Tol

Research output: Contribution to Journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

Abstract

The literature on tourism and climate change lacks an analysis of the global changes in tourism demand. Here, a simulation model of international tourism is presented that fills that gap. The current pattern of international tourist flows is modelled using 1995 data on departures and arrivals for 207 countries. Using this basic model the impact on arrivals and departures through changes in population, per capita income and climate change are analysed. In the medium to long term, tourism will grow, however, the change from climate change is smaller than from population and income changes. © 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	253-266
Number of pages	14
Journal	Global Environmental Change
Volume	15
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.12.009
Publication status	Published - 2005

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10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.12.009

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abstract = "The literature on tourism and climate change lacks an analysis of the global changes in tourism demand. Here, a simulation model of international tourism is presented that fills that gap. The current pattern of international tourist flows is modelled using 1995 data on departures and arrivals for 207 countries. Using this basic model the impact on arrivals and departures through changes in population, per capita income and climate change are analysed. In the medium to long term, tourism will grow, however, the change from climate change is smaller than from population and income changes. {\textcopyright} 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.",

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AB - The literature on tourism and climate change lacks an analysis of the global changes in tourism demand. Here, a simulation model of international tourism is presented that fills that gap. The current pattern of international tourist flows is modelled using 1995 data on departures and arrivals for 207 countries. Using this basic model the impact on arrivals and departures through changes in population, per capita income and climate change are analysed. In the medium to long term, tourism will grow, however, the change from climate change is smaller than from population and income changes. © 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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DO - 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2004.12.009

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VL - 15

SP - 253

EP - 266

JO - Global Environmental Change

JF - Global Environmental Change

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ER -

Climate change and international tourism: A simulation study

Abstract

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