Abstract
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1-8 |
| Number of pages | 7 |
| Journal | Theoretical and Applied Climatology |
| Volume | 61 |
| Issue number | 1-2 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1998 |
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Climate Change, the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect and Influence of the Sun: A Statistical Analysis. / Tol, R.S.J.; Vellinga, P.
In: Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol. 61, No. 1-2, 1998, p. 1-8.Research output: Contribution to Journal › Article › Academic › peer-review
TY - JOUR
T1 - Climate Change, the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect and Influence of the Sun: A Statistical Analysis
AU - Tol, R.S.J.
AU - Vellinga, P.
PY - 1998
Y1 - 1998
N2 - Changes in solar activity are regularly forwarded as an hypothesis to explain the observed global warming over the last century. The support of such claims is largely statistical, as knowledge of the physical relationships is limited. The statistical evidence is revisited. Changing solar activity is a statistically plausible hypothesis for the observed warming, if short-term natural variability is the only alternative explanation. Compared to the enhanced greenhouse effect, the solar hypothesis looses a substantial part of its plausibility. Reversely, the size and significance of the estimated impact of the enhanced greenhouse effect on the global mean temperature is hardly affected by solar activity.
AB - Changes in solar activity are regularly forwarded as an hypothesis to explain the observed global warming over the last century. The support of such claims is largely statistical, as knowledge of the physical relationships is limited. The statistical evidence is revisited. Changing solar activity is a statistically plausible hypothesis for the observed warming, if short-term natural variability is the only alternative explanation. Compared to the enhanced greenhouse effect, the solar hypothesis looses a substantial part of its plausibility. Reversely, the size and significance of the estimated impact of the enhanced greenhouse effect on the global mean temperature is hardly affected by solar activity.
U2 - 10.1007/s007040050046
DO - 10.1007/s007040050046
M3 - Article
VL - 61
SP - 1
EP - 8
JO - Theoretical and Applied Climatology
JF - Theoretical and Applied Climatology
SN - 0177-798X
IS - 1-2
ER -