TY - JOUR
T1 - Climatic risks and impacts in South Asia
T2 - extremes of water scarcity and excess
AU - Vinke, Kira
AU - Martin, Maria A.
AU - Adams, Sophie
AU - Baarsch, Florent
AU - Bondeau, Alberte
AU - Coumou, Dim
AU - Donner, Reik V.
AU - Menon, Arathy
AU - Perrette, Mahé
AU - Rehfeld, Kira
AU - Robinson, Alexander
AU - Rocha, Marcia
AU - Schaeffer, Michiel
AU - Schwan, Susanne
AU - Serdeczny, Olivia
AU - Svirejeva-Hopkins, Anastasia
PY - 2017/8/1
Y1 - 2017/8/1
N2 - This paper reviews the current knowledge of climatic risks and impacts in South Asia associated with anthropogenic warming levels of 1.5–4 °C above pre-industrial values in the twenty-first century. It is based on the World Bank Report “Turn Down the Heat, Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts and the Case for Resilience” (2013b). Many of the climate change impacts in the region, which appear quite severe even with relatively modest warming of 1.5–2 °C, pose significant hazards to development. For example, increased monsoon variability and loss or glacial meltwater will likely confront populations with ongoing and multiple challenges. The result is a significant risk to stable and reliable water resources for the region, with increases in peak flows potentially causing floods and dry season flow reductions threatening agriculture. Irrespective of the anticipated economic development and growth, climate projections indicate that large parts of South Asia’s growing population and especially the poor are likely to remain highly vulnerable to climate change.
AB - This paper reviews the current knowledge of climatic risks and impacts in South Asia associated with anthropogenic warming levels of 1.5–4 °C above pre-industrial values in the twenty-first century. It is based on the World Bank Report “Turn Down the Heat, Climate Extremes, Regional Impacts and the Case for Resilience” (2013b). Many of the climate change impacts in the region, which appear quite severe even with relatively modest warming of 1.5–2 °C, pose significant hazards to development. For example, increased monsoon variability and loss or glacial meltwater will likely confront populations with ongoing and multiple challenges. The result is a significant risk to stable and reliable water resources for the region, with increases in peak flows potentially causing floods and dry season flow reductions threatening agriculture. Irrespective of the anticipated economic development and growth, climate projections indicate that large parts of South Asia’s growing population and especially the poor are likely to remain highly vulnerable to climate change.
KW - Agriculture
KW - Climate change
KW - Climate impacts
KW - South Asia
KW - Water
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84957629282&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84957629282&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/s10113-015-0924-9
DO - 10.1007/s10113-015-0924-9
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84957629282
VL - 17
SP - 1569
EP - 1583
JO - Regional Environmental Change
JF - Regional Environmental Change
SN - 1436-3798
IS - 6
ER -