Combining bifurcation and sensitivity analysis for ecological models: Model analysis, and the allegory of the cave

GAK van Voorn, B.W. Kooi

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    Abstract

    Plato’s well-known allegory of the cave describes an observer
    chained in a cave facing a blank wall on which shadows are projected of
    objects that are outside the cave. Only by breaking free from the chains
    can the observer submerge from the cave to see what the objects really
    look like. Ecological model features compare to the objects outside
    the cave in this allegory. By performing model analysis light is shed
    on these features, creating projections that researchers can see. Model
    analysis methodologies like bifurcation analysis and sensitivity analysis
    each focus on particular model features and thus allow researchers to
    uncover only part of the model behaviour. By combining methodologies
    for model analysis possibilities arise for unravelling more of the model’s
    behaviour, allowing researchers to ‘break free’. In this paper benefits
    and issues of combining model analysis methodologies are discussed
    using a case study. The case study involves three representations of
    the well-known Rosenzweig-MacArthur predator-prey model, namely
    the usual one where state variables and parameters have dimensions, a
    dimensionless representation, and a generalized representation. Based
    on the results we argue that researchers should combine bifurcation and
    sensitivity analysis methodologies when analyzing ecological models.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)2101-2118
    Number of pages18
    JournalEuropean Physical Journal. Special Topics
    Volume226
    Issue number9
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2017

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