Comparing loss functions and interval estimates for survival data

Starrlight Augustine*, Konstadia Lika, Sebastiaan A.L.M. Kooijman

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

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    Abstract

    We compare parameter point and interval estimates based on the symmetric bounded loss function, as used in the Add-my-Pet collection on animal energetics, with the maximum likelihood method for number of surviving individuals as function of time. The aging module of Dynamic Energy Budget theory is used to generate Monte Carlo data sets. The simulations show that estimates based on the symmetric loss function give almost the same results in terms of point as well as interval estimates, compared to maximum likelihood estimation, while this loss function avoids the need to model the stochastic component of data sets. For most data types on energetics, we don't have such stochastic models, so maximum likelihood methods cannot be used. Our findings support the view that model plasticity dominates interval estimates, rather than the detailed structure of the stochastic component.

    Original languageEnglish
    Article number109077
    Pages (from-to)1-4
    Number of pages4
    JournalEcological Modelling
    Volume430
    Early online date27 May 2020
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 15 Aug 2020

    Funding

    SA was supported by the Norwegian Science Council (NFR 255295).

    Keywords

    • Add-my-Pet
    • Aging
    • Dynamic energy budget theory
    • Maximum likelihood
    • Profile-based interval estimates
    • Survival data
    • Symmetric bounded loss function

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