TY - JOUR
T1 - Comparing the Sequence of Climate Change Mitigation Targets and Policies in Major Emitting Economies
AU - Nascimento, Leonardo
AU - Elzen, Michel den
AU - Kuramochi, Takeshi
AU - Woollands, Santiago
AU - Dafnomilis, Ioannis
AU - Moisio, Mia
AU - Roelfsema, Mark
AU - Forsell, Nicklas
AU - Gutierrez, Zuelclady Araujo
PY - 2024
Y1 - 2024
N2 - The Paris Agreement requires that countries submit and update their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) to mitigate global climate change. This study projected greenhouse gas emissions to evaluate the progress of 25 countries towards their original and updated NDCs. It found that almost one-quarter of the countries submitted more ambitious, updated NDCs without adopting sufficient policies to meet their original targets. Additionally, in most countries, updated NDCs lead to emissions above current policies. The findings also suggest that these patterns are influenced by national constraints, especially reliance on fossil fuels. Appropriate sequencing of ambition raising and policy adoption is urgently needed to translate the Paris Agreement into action.
AB - The Paris Agreement requires that countries submit and update their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) to mitigate global climate change. This study projected greenhouse gas emissions to evaluate the progress of 25 countries towards their original and updated NDCs. It found that almost one-quarter of the countries submitted more ambitious, updated NDCs without adopting sufficient policies to meet their original targets. Additionally, in most countries, updated NDCs lead to emissions above current policies. The findings also suggest that these patterns are influenced by national constraints, especially reliance on fossil fuels. Appropriate sequencing of ambition raising and policy adoption is urgently needed to translate the Paris Agreement into action.
UR - https://doi.org/10.1080/13876988.2023.2255151
U2 - 10.1080/13876988.2023.2255151
DO - 10.1080/13876988.2023.2255151
M3 - Article
SN - 1572-5448
VL - 26
SP - 233
EP - 250
JO - Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis: Research and Practice
JF - Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis: Research and Practice
IS - 3-4
ER -