Drought Modelling Using Artificial Intelligence Algorithms in Izmir District

Zeynep İrem Özen, Berk Sadettin Tengerlek, Damla Yüksel, Efthymia Staiou*, Mir Jafar Sadegh Safari

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book / Report / Conference proceedingConference contributionAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

The world's water resources are decreasing day by day due to factors such as climate change, drought, inefficient pricing policies implemented by the government, population growth, uncontrolled water consumption, technological developments, and industrialization. A decrease in water resources causes water scarcity in the long-term period. This study is conducted to analysis the meteorological drought, in Izmir district, Turkey. Inspired by the real-life problem, drought estimation models are developed through artificial neural network-based artificial intelligence techniques incorporating a decision support system. The Z-score index (ZSI) values are computed using precipitation data collected from five meteorological station in Küçük Menderes basin, and several developed models are compared according to the variety of statistical performance metrics.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationDigitizing Production Systems - Selected Papers from ISPR 2021
EditorsNuman M. Durakbasa, M. Güneş Gençyılmaz
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages689-701
Number of pages13
ISBN (Print)9783030904203
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2022
Externally publishedYes
EventInternational Symposium for Production Research, ISPR2021 - Virtual, Online
Duration: 7 Oct 20219 Oct 2021

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Mechanical Engineering
ISSN (Print)2195-4356
ISSN (Electronic)2195-4364

Conference

ConferenceInternational Symposium for Production Research, ISPR2021
CityVirtual, Online
Period7/10/219/10/21

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.

Keywords

  • Artificial neural networks
  • Drought
  • Feed forward backpropagation
  • Generalized regression
  • Radial basis function
  • Z-Score Index

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