Abstract
This study investigates consequences of future changes to the provision of ecosystem services (ES) in the Romanian Carpathians. Two 2040 forest management scenarios were compared, using two indicators to describe the gains and losses of ES. Changes in landslide regulation potential were defined as changes to landslide susceptibility. High nature value grasslands characterized biodiversity support. The business as usual scenario results in a 8% lower loss of landslide regulation potential compared to the alternative scenario. It also results in a 29% higher regional net gain of landslide regulation potential. Both scenarios result in the loss of biodiversity support due to their prevalent transition of forest expansion. This type of information is crucial for informing decision makers on the locations of potential gains and losses of future development.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1-17 |
| Number of pages | 17 |
| Journal | Environment, Development and Sustainability |
| Volume | 20 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Accepted/In press - 23 Mar 2017 |
Funding
This work is a part of the CHANGES project (Changing Hydro-meteorological Risks - as Analyzed by a New Generation of European Scientists), a Marie Curie Initial Training Network, funded by the European Community’s 7th Framework Programme FP7/2007-2013, Grant Agreement No. 263953.
| Funders | Funder number |
|---|---|
| European Community’s 7th Framework Programme FP7/2007 | |
| Seventh Framework Programme | 263953 |
Keywords
- Ecosystem services
- Forest management
- GIS
- Natural resources
- Spatial assessment
