Future climate risk from compound events

Jakob Zscheischler*, Seth Westra, Bart J.J.M. Van Den Hurk, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Philip J. Ward, Andy Pitman, Amir Aghakouchak, David N. Bresch, Michael Leonard, Thomas Wahl, Xuebin Zhang

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

382 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Floods, wildfires, heatwaves and droughts often result from a combination of interacting physical processes across multiple spatial and temporal scales. The combination of processes (climate drivers and hazards) leading to a significant impact is referred to as a 'compound event'. Traditional risk assessment methods typically only consider one driver and/or hazard at a time, potentially leading to underestimation of risk, as the processes that cause extreme events often interact and are spatially and/or temporally dependent. Here we show how a better understanding of compound events may improve projections of potential high-impact events, and can provide a bridge between climate scientists, engineers, social scientists, impact modellers and decision-makers, who need to work closely together to understand these complex events.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)469-477
Number of pages9
JournalNature Climate Change
Volume8
Issue number6
Early online date14 May 2018
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2018

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Future climate risk from compound events'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this