Abstract
Previous research shows effects of the advice from voting advice applications (VAAs) on party choice. These effects could be spurious because common antecedent factors like prior voting, a voter's prior issue positions and election campaign news may explain both party choice and the opinions someone reports to the VAA, and hence the voting advice obtained from the VAA. Often VAAs will advise users to opt for parties that they were already likely to vote for, based on antecedent factors. Here, three-wave panel surveys and media content data for the Dutch national election campaigns of 2010 and 2012 are employed. In spite of spurious correlations resulting from common antecedent factors, genuine VAA effects show up, especially for doubting voters. Party change based on positive VAA-advice for a party is least likely (a) for voters who already have an abundance of antecedent factors in favour of that party anyway, and (b) for those without a single antecedent factor in favour of that party. Genuine VAA effects imply that VAAs make it less easy for political parties to neglect each other's owned issues, because VAAs weigh issues equally for each party.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 291-302 |
| Number of pages | 12 |
| Journal | Party Politics |
| Volume | 25 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| Early online date | 4 Jul 2017 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 May 2019 |
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Keywords
- elections
- issue voting
- media effects
- vote advice applications
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Genuine effects of vote advice applications on party choice : Filtering out factors that affect both the advice obtained and the vote. / Kleinnijenhuis, Jan; van de Pol, Jasper; van Hoof, Anita M.J.; Krouwel, André P.M.
In: Party Politics, Vol. 25, No. 3, 01.05.2019, p. 291-302.Research output: Contribution to Journal › Article › Academic › peer-review
TY - JOUR
T1 - Genuine effects of vote advice applications on party choice
T2 - Filtering out factors that affect both the advice obtained and the vote
AU - Kleinnijenhuis, Jan
AU - van de Pol, Jasper
AU - van Hoof, Anita M.J.
AU - Krouwel, André P.M.
PY - 2019/5/1
Y1 - 2019/5/1
N2 - Previous research shows effects of the advice from voting advice applications (VAAs) on party choice. These effects could be spurious because common antecedent factors like prior voting, a voter's prior issue positions and election campaign news may explain both party choice and the opinions someone reports to the VAA, and hence the voting advice obtained from the VAA. Often VAAs will advise users to opt for parties that they were already likely to vote for, based on antecedent factors. Here, three-wave panel surveys and media content data for the Dutch national election campaigns of 2010 and 2012 are employed. In spite of spurious correlations resulting from common antecedent factors, genuine VAA effects show up, especially for doubting voters. Party change based on positive VAA-advice for a party is least likely (a) for voters who already have an abundance of antecedent factors in favour of that party anyway, and (b) for those without a single antecedent factor in favour of that party. Genuine VAA effects imply that VAAs make it less easy for political parties to neglect each other's owned issues, because VAAs weigh issues equally for each party.
AB - Previous research shows effects of the advice from voting advice applications (VAAs) on party choice. These effects could be spurious because common antecedent factors like prior voting, a voter's prior issue positions and election campaign news may explain both party choice and the opinions someone reports to the VAA, and hence the voting advice obtained from the VAA. Often VAAs will advise users to opt for parties that they were already likely to vote for, based on antecedent factors. Here, three-wave panel surveys and media content data for the Dutch national election campaigns of 2010 and 2012 are employed. In spite of spurious correlations resulting from common antecedent factors, genuine VAA effects show up, especially for doubting voters. Party change based on positive VAA-advice for a party is least likely (a) for voters who already have an abundance of antecedent factors in favour of that party anyway, and (b) for those without a single antecedent factor in favour of that party. Genuine VAA effects imply that VAAs make it less easy for political parties to neglect each other's owned issues, because VAAs weigh issues equally for each party.
KW - elections
KW - issue voting
KW - media effects
KW - vote advice applications
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85060585325&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85060585325&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1177/1354068817713121
DO - 10.1177/1354068817713121
M3 - Article
VL - 25
SP - 291
EP - 302
JO - Party Politics
JF - Party Politics
SN - 1354-0688
IS - 3
ER -