How can event attribution science underpin financial decisions on Loss and Damage?

Dim Coumou*, Paola A. Arias, Ana Bastos, Charlotte Kendra Gotangco Gonzales, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Pandora Hope, Christopher Jack, Friederike Otto, Fahad Saeed, Olivia Serdeczny, Theodore G. Shepherd, Robert Vautard

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

With climate extremes hitting nations across the globe, disproportionately burdening vulnerable developing countries, the prompt operation of the Loss and Damage fund is of paramount importance. As decisions on resource disbursement at the international level, and investment strategies at the national level, loom, the climate science community’s role in providing fair and effective evidence is crucial. Attribution science can provide useful information for decision makers, but both ethical implications and deep uncertainty cannot be ignored. Considering these aspects, we articulate a vision that integrates established attribution methods and multiple lines of evidence within a coherent logical framework.

Original languageEnglish
Article numberpgae277
Pages (from-to)1-10
Number of pages10
JournalPNAS Nexus
Volume3
Issue number8
Early online date27 Aug 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2024.

Funding

FundersFunder number
Artificial Intelligence for Detection and Attribution
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme101003469
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

    Keywords

    • attribution
    • climate impact
    • extreme weather
    • loss and damage

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