Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate

Alexander Robinson*, Jascha Lehmann, David Barriopedro, Stefan Rahmstorf, Dim Coumou

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review


Over the last decade, the world warmed by 0.25 °C, in-line with the roughly linear trend since the 1970s. Here we present updated analyses showing that this seemingly small shift has led to the emergence of heat extremes that would be virtually impossible without anthropogenic global warming. Also, record rainfall extremes have continued to increase worldwide and, on average, 1 in 4 rainfall records in the last decade can be attributed to climate change. Tropical regions, comprised of vulnerable countries that typically contributed least to anthropogenic climate change, continue to see the strongest increase in extremes.

Original languageEnglish
Article number45
Pages (from-to)1-4
Number of pages4
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 5 Oct 2021

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
A.R. is supported by the Ramón y Cajal Program of the Spanish Ministry for Science, Innovation, and Universities (grant no. RYC-2016-20587). D.C. is supported by the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO), grant 016.Vidi.171011. D.B. acknowledges support from the H2020 EU project CLINT (Grant Agreement No. 101003876).

Publisher Copyright:
© 2021, The Author(s).

Copyright 2021 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.


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