Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment

J. C.J.H. Aerts*, W. J. Botzen, K. C. Clarke, S. L. Cutter, J. W. Hall, B. Merz, E. Michel-Kerjan, J. Mysiak, S. Surminski, H. Kunreuther

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalReview articleAcademicpeer-review

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Abstract

The behaviour of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern, and demonstrate that although initial efforts have inevitably represented human behaviour in limited terms, innovations in flood-risk assessment that integrate societal behaviour and behavioural adaptation dynamics into such quantifications may lead to more accurate characterization of risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of risk-management strategies and investments. Such multidisciplinary approaches can inform flood-risk management policy development.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)193-199
Number of pages7
JournalNature Climate Change
Volume8
Issue number3
Early online date27 Feb 2018
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2018

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