Key driving factors influencing urban growth: Spatial-statistical modelling with CLUE-s

Sohel J. Ahmed*, Glen Bramley, Peter H. Verburg

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Chapter in Book / Report / Conference proceedingChapterAcademicpeer-review

    Abstract

    In a rapidly urbanising megacity such as Dhaka, identifying the driving factors that influence urban growth at different spatio-temporal scales is of considerable importance. In this study, based on literature survey and data availability, a selection of drivers is chosen and then tested through logistic regression. Using the CLUE-s land use modelling framework, the ability of these drivers to simulate urbanisation for the periods of 1988-1999 and 1999-2005 was examined against observed data. The results indicated that the role of these driving factors, as contributors to explaining change dynamics of urban land in Dhaka, changes with time. The overall performance of the model, when validated against observed data, is similar to that reported for other urban growth models.

    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationDhaka Megacity
    Subtitle of host publicationGeospatial Perspectives on Urbanisation, Environment and Health
    PublisherSpringer Netherlands
    Pages123-145
    Number of pages23
    ISBN (Electronic)9789400767355
    ISBN (Print)9789400767348
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2014

    Keywords

    • Calibration
    • CLUE-s
    • Dhaka
    • Drivers of change
    • LUCC
    • Spatial statistical models
    • Urban growth
    • Validation

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