Land-use changes across distant places: design of a telecoupled agent-based model

Yue Dou, James D.A. Millington, Ramon Felipe Bicudo Da Silva, Paul McCord, Andrés Viña, Qian Song, Qiangyi Yu, Wenbin Wu, Mateus Batistella, Emilio Moran, Jianguo Liu*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Land-use changes across distant places are increasingly affected by international agricultural trade, but most of the impacts and feedback remain unknown. The telecoupling framework–an analytical tool for examining socioeconomic and environmental interactions over distances–can be used to conceptualize the impacts of agricultural trade on land-use change and feedbacks across borders of importing and exporting countries and across spatio-temporal scales of land systems. We apply the framework to design an agent-based model (TeleABM) that represents land-use changes in telecoupled systems to investigate how local land-use changes are affected by flows. The Brazil–China telecoupled soybean system is used as a demonstration. With examples of research questions, we explore the possible applications of this model for assessing farm-level income, fertilizer usage, deforestation, and agricultural intensification, as a tool to quantify socio-ecological impacts between distant places and holistically inform sustainable land-practices across system boundaries.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)191-209
Number of pages19
JournalJournal of Land Use Science
Volume14
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 4 May 2019

Funding

This research is supported by National Science Foundation Award [DEB-1518518], Complex Dynamics of Telecoupled Human and Natural Systems; Michigan AgBioResearch. It is also supported by the Funda??o de Amparo ? Pesquisa do Estado de S?o Paulo [14/50628-9 and 15/25892-7] and by the UK Natural Environment Research Council (grant number NE/M021335/1) via Belmont Forum CRA13 Type 2 project, ?Food Security and Land Use: The Telecoupling Challenge?. We thank editors L. Rasmussen, C. Hickman, and D. Muller, and two anonymous reviewers for the valuable comments on an early version of the manuscript and S. Nichols for the editing of the manuscript.

FundersFunder number
Complex Dynamics of Telecoupled Human and Natural Systems
Michigan AgBioResearch
National Science FoundationDEB-1518518
Natural Environment Research CouncilNE/M021335/1
Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo15/25892-7, 14/50628-9

    Keywords

    • agent-based model
    • agricultural trade
    • land system
    • land-use change
    • local land-use decision
    • Telecoupling

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