Learning where to offend: Effects of past on future burglary locations

W. Bernasco, S.D. Johnson, S. Ruiter

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Informed by a growing literature on space-time patterns of repeat and near repeat burglary victimization, a crime location choice model was used to test whether burglars are attracted to areas they previously targeted. Using data in 3337 detected burglaries from one UK police force, and accounting for the distance to the offender's residence, and for other factors that make target areas attractive to burglars, it was demonstrated that burglars were more likely to commit a burglary in an area they had targeted before. This was particularly the case if the prior burglary was (very) recent. Areas near to those in which burglaries had been committed were also more likely to be selected.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)120-129
JournalApplied Geography
Volume60
Issue numberJune
Early online date14 Apr 2015
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2015

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