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Malleable Lies: Communication and Cooperation in a High Stakes TV Game Show

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Abstract

We investigate the credibility of nonbinding preplay statements about cooperative behavior, using data from a high-stakes TV game show in which contestants play a variant on the classic Prisoner’s Dilemma. We depart from the conventional binary approach of classifying statements as promises or not, and propose a more fine-grained two-by-two typology inspired by the idea that lying aversion leads defectors to prefer statements that are malleable to ex-post interpretation as truths. Our empirical analysis shows that statements that carry an element of conditionality or implicitness are associated with a lower likelihood of cooperation, and confirms that malleability is a good criterion for judging the credibility of cheap talk.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)4795-4812
JournalManagement Science
Volume65
Issue number10
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2019

Funding

History: Accepted by Elke Weber, judgment and decision making. Funding: This work was supported by the Economic and Social Research Council via the Network for Integrated Behavioural Sciences [Grant ES/K002201/1] and the Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek [Grant 452-16-011]. Supplemental Material: Data are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2018.3159.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 17 - Partnerships for the Goals
    SDG 17 Partnerships for the Goals

Keywords

  • Cheap talk
  • Communication
  • Cooperation
  • Deception
  • Game show
  • Lying aversion
  • Prisoner’s dilemma

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