Meta-emulation: An application to the social cost of carbon

Richard S.J. Tol*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

A large database of published model results is used to estimate the distribution of the social cost of carbon as a function of the underlying assumptions. The literature on the social cost of carbon deviates in its assumptions from the literatures on the impacts of climate change, discounting, and risk aversion. The proposed meta-emulator corrects this. The social cost of carbon is higher than reported in the literature, by $29/tC at the median and by $139/tC at the 95th percentile.

Original languageEnglish
Article number109026
JournalEnergy Economics
Volume152
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Author

Keywords

  • Meta-analysis
  • Quantile regression
  • Social cost of carbon

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