Modelling crime flow between neighbourhoods in terms of distance and of intervening opportunities

Henk Elffers*, Danielle Reynald, Margit Averdijk, Wim Bernasco, Richard Block

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Using data on solved crimes in The Hague, the Netherlands, we study crime trips between areas where offenders live and where they offend, in order to test the hypothesis that the number of criminal opportunities between two areas ("intervening opportunities") influences the number of crime trips that take place between those areas. The findings are that, contrary to the hypothesis, simple geographical distance between two areas explains the number of crime trips between them better than various measures of intervening opportunities do.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)85-96
Number of pages12
JournalCrime Prevention and Community Safety, An international Journal
Volume10
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2008

Keywords

  • crime trips
  • gravitational models
  • intervening opportunities

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