Nonlinear Network Autoregression

Mirko Armillotta, Konstantinos Fokianos

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Abstract

We study general nonlinear models for time series networks of integer and continuous-valued data. The vector of high-dimensional responses, measured on the nodes of a known network, is regressed nonlinearly on its lagged value and on lagged values of the neighboring nodes by employing a smooth link function. We study stability conditions for such multivariate process and develop quasi-maximum likelihood inference when the network dimension is increasing. In addition, we study linearity score tests by treating separately the cases of identifiable and nonidentifiable parameters. In the case of identifiability, the test statistic converges to a chi-square distribution. When the parameters are not identifiable, we develop a supremum-type test whose p-values are approximated adequately by employing a feasible bound and bootstrap methodology. Simulations and data examples support further our findings.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2526-2552
Number of pages27
JournalAnnals of Statistics
Volume51
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2023

Funding

Funding. The research was supported by the European Regional Development Fund and the Republic of Cyprus through the Research and Innovation Foundation, under the project INFRASTRUCTURES/1216/0017 (IRIDA).

FundersFunder number
European Regional Development Fund
Research and Innovation FoundationINFRASTRUCTURES/1216/0017

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