Nowcasting manufacturing value added for cross-country comparison

Kris Boudt*, Valentin Todorov, Shyam Upadhyaya

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Manufacturing Value Added (MVA) is the key indicator of a country's industrial production. In order to facilitate international comparisons it is published in UNIDO's International Yearbook of Industrial Statistics for a large set of countries. Because of a time-gap of at least one year between the latest year for which data are available and the year for which MVA data must be reported in the Yearbook, nowcasting methods are used to fill in the missing data up to the current year. We propose a parsimonious methodology that exploits the relationship between MVA and GDP to produce reliable nowcasts of MVA.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)15-20
Number of pages6
JournalStatistical Journal of the IAOS
Volume26
Issue number1-2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2009
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Manufacturing Value Added
  • Nowcasting
  • Robustness
  • UNIDO

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