One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict

H. Buhaug*, J. Nordkvelle, T. Bernauer, T. Böhmelt, M. Brzoska, J. W. Busby, A. Ciccone, H. Fjelde, E. Gartzke, N. P. Gleditsch, J. A. Goldstone, H. Hegre, H. Holtermann, V. Koubi, J. S.A. Link, P.M. Link, P. Lujala, J. O′Loughlin, C. Raleigh, J. ScheffranC. J. Schilling, T. G. Smith, O. M. Theisen, R. S.J. Tol, H. Urdal, N. von Uexkull

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review


A recent Climatic Change review article reports a remarkable convergence of scientific evidence for a link between climatic events and violent intergroup conflict, thus departing markedly from other contemporary assessments of the empirical literature. This commentary revisits the review in order to understand the discrepancy. We believe the origins of the disagreement can be traced back to the review article’s underlying quantitative meta-analysis, which suffers from shortcomings with respect to sample selection and analytical coherence. A modified assessment that addresses some of these problems suggests that scientific research on climate and conflict to date has produced mixed and inconclusive results.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)391-397
Number of pages7
JournalClimatic Change
Issue number3-4
Publication statusPublished - 2014


Dive into the research topics of 'One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this