One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict

H. Buhaug; J. Nordkvelle; T. Bernauer; T. Böhmelt; M. Brzoska; J. W. Busby; A. Ciccone; H. Fjelde; E. Gartzke; N. P. Gleditsch; J. A. Goldstone; H. Hegre; H. Holtermann; V. Koubi; J. S.A. Link; P.M. Link; P. Lujala; J. O′Loughlin; C. Raleigh; J. Scheffran; C. J. Schilling; T. G. Smith; O. M. Theisen; R. S.J. Tol; H. Urdal; N. von Uexkull

doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1266-1

One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict

H. Buhaug^*
, J. Nordkvelle
, T. Bernauer
, T. Böhmelt
, M. Brzoska
, J. W. Busby
, A. Ciccone
, H. Fjelde
, E. Gartzke
, N. P. Gleditsch
, J. A. Goldstone
, H. Hegre
, H. Holtermann
, V. Koubi
, J. S.A. Link
, P.M. Link
, P. Lujala
, J. O′Loughlin
, C. Raleigh
, J. Scheffran

C. J. Schilling, T. G. Smith, O. M. Theisen, R. S.J. Tol, H. Urdal, N. von Uexkull

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to Journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

Abstract

A recent Climatic Change review article reports a remarkable convergence of scientific evidence for a link between climatic events and violent intergroup conflict, thus departing markedly from other contemporary assessments of the empirical literature. This commentary revisits the review in order to understand the discrepancy. We believe the origins of the disagreement can be traced back to the review article’s underlying quantitative meta-analysis, which suffers from shortcomings with respect to sample selection and analytical coherence. A modified assessment that addresses some of these problems suggests that scientific research on climate and conflict to date has produced mixed and inconclusive results.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	391-397
Number of pages	7
Journal	Climatic Change
Volume	127
Issue number	3-4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1266-1
Publication status	Published - 2014

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 13 Climate Action

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10.1007/s10584-014-1266-1

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Buhaug, H., Nordkvelle, J., Bernauer, T., Böhmelt, T., Brzoska, M., Busby, J. W., Ciccone, A., Fjelde, H., Gartzke, E., Gleditsch, N. P., Goldstone, J. A., Hegre, H., Holtermann, H., Koubi, V., Link, J. S. A., Link, P. M., Lujala, P., O′Loughlin, J., Raleigh, C., ... von Uexkull, N. (2014). One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict. Climatic Change, 127(3-4), 391-397. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1266-1

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title = "One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict",

abstract = "A recent Climatic Change review article reports a remarkable convergence of scientific evidence for a link between climatic events and violent intergroup conflict, thus departing markedly from other contemporary assessments of the empirical literature. This commentary revisits the review in order to understand the discrepancy. We believe the origins of the disagreement can be traced back to the review article{\textquoteright}s underlying quantitative meta-analysis, which suffers from shortcomings with respect to sample selection and analytical coherence. A modified assessment that addresses some of these problems suggests that scientific research on climate and conflict to date has produced mixed and inconclusive results.",

author = "H. Buhaug and J. Nordkvelle and T. Bernauer and T. B{\"o}hmelt and M. Brzoska and Busby, \{J. W.\} and A. Ciccone and H. Fjelde and E. Gartzke and Gleditsch, \{N. P.\} and Goldstone, \{J. A.\} and H. Hegre and H. Holtermann and V. Koubi and Link, \{J. S.A.\} and P.M. Link and P. Lujala and J. O′Loughlin and C. Raleigh and J. Scheffran and Schilling, \{C. J.\} and Smith, \{T. G.\} and Theisen, \{O. M.\} and Tol, \{R. S.J.\} and H. Urdal and \{von Uexkull\}, N.",

year = "2014",

doi = "10.1007/s10584-014-1266-1",

language = "English",

volume = "127",

pages = "391--397",

journal = "Climatic Change",

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Buhaug, H, Nordkvelle, J, Bernauer, T, Böhmelt, T, Brzoska, M, Busby, JW, Ciccone, A, Fjelde, H, Gartzke, E, Gleditsch, NP, Goldstone, JA, Hegre, H, Holtermann, H, Koubi, V, Link, JSA, Link, PM, Lujala, P, O′Loughlin, J, Raleigh, C, Scheffran, J, Schilling, CJ, Smith, TG, Theisen, OM, Tol, RSJ, Urdal, H & von Uexkull, N 2014, 'One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict', Climatic Change, vol. 127, no. 3-4, pp. 391-397. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1266-1

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T1 - One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict

AU - Buhaug, H.

AU - Nordkvelle, J.

AU - Bernauer, T.

AU - Böhmelt, T.

AU - Brzoska, M.

AU - Busby, J. W.

AU - Ciccone, A.

AU - Fjelde, H.

AU - Gartzke, E.

AU - Gleditsch, N. P.

AU - Goldstone, J. A.

AU - Hegre, H.

AU - Holtermann, H.

AU - Koubi, V.

AU - Link, J. S.A.

AU - Link, P.M.

AU - Lujala, P.

AU - O′Loughlin, J.

AU - Raleigh, C.

AU - Scheffran, J.

AU - Schilling, C. J.

AU - Smith, T. G.

AU - Theisen, O. M.

AU - Tol, R. S.J.

AU - Urdal, H.

AU - von Uexkull, N.

PY - 2014

Y1 - 2014

N2 - A recent Climatic Change review article reports a remarkable convergence of scientific evidence for a link between climatic events and violent intergroup conflict, thus departing markedly from other contemporary assessments of the empirical literature. This commentary revisits the review in order to understand the discrepancy. We believe the origins of the disagreement can be traced back to the review article’s underlying quantitative meta-analysis, which suffers from shortcomings with respect to sample selection and analytical coherence. A modified assessment that addresses some of these problems suggests that scientific research on climate and conflict to date has produced mixed and inconclusive results.

AB - A recent Climatic Change review article reports a remarkable convergence of scientific evidence for a link between climatic events and violent intergroup conflict, thus departing markedly from other contemporary assessments of the empirical literature. This commentary revisits the review in order to understand the discrepancy. We believe the origins of the disagreement can be traced back to the review article’s underlying quantitative meta-analysis, which suffers from shortcomings with respect to sample selection and analytical coherence. A modified assessment that addresses some of these problems suggests that scientific research on climate and conflict to date has produced mixed and inconclusive results.

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DO - 10.1007/s10584-014-1266-1

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SP - 391

EP - 397

JO - Climatic Change

JF - Climatic Change

IS - 3-4

ER -

One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict

Abstract

UN SDGs

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