Paris targets within reach by aligning, broadening and strengthening net-zero pledges

Ioannis Dafnomilis*, Michel den Elzen, Detlef van Vuuren

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Many countries have recently announced the ambition to reach net-zero emissions targets. Here we explore the climate and energy transition impacts of the following strategies using the IMAGE integrated assessment model: 1) implementing the pledged 2030 targets and net-zero targets, 2) aligning the 2030 emission targets with the net-zero targets, 3) broadening the coalition of net-zero countries, and 4) strengthening the net-zero pledges by bringing them forward in time. The results illustrate that each step could accelerate the low-carbon transition by building on existing elements in international climate policy. Our study shows that the gap between a continuation of current emission trends and a Paris-aligned 1.5 °C target can be reduced by about 90% by 2100. This provides a pathway to bring the Paris Agreement climate goals within reach.

Original languageEnglish
Article number48
Pages (from-to)1-10
Number of pages10
JournalCommunications Earth and Environment
Volume5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 23 Jan 2024

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
This work was supported by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant agreement no. 821471: ENGAGE; grant agreement no. 821124: NAVIGATE).

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024, The Author(s).

Funding

This work was supported by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program (grant agreement no. 821471: ENGAGE; grant agreement no. 821124: NAVIGATE).

FundersFunder number
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme821471, 821124
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

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