This paper aims to explain the magnitude and cyclical behavior of the fluctuations in unemployment and vacancies. Adding demand externalities to an otherwise standard search and matching model reduces the need for exogenous shocks in explaining these fluctuations. Under plausible parameter values, the equilibrium dynamics include a stable limit cycle that resembles the empirically observed counterclockwise cycles around the Beveridge curve. Quantitatively, these endogenous `Beveridge cycles' can explain half of the volatility and almost all persistence of unemployment without any exogenous forces, avoiding the amplification and propagation problems of the standard model.
|Place of Publication||Amsterdam|
|Publisher||University of Amsterdam|
|Number of pages||48|
|Publication status||Published - 2014|
|Name||CeNDEF Working Paper|
November 1, 2014