Plant functional trait change across a warming tundra biome

Anne D. Bjorkman; Isla H. Myers-Smith; Sarah C. Elmendorf; Signe Normand; Nadja Rüger; Pieter S.A. Beck; Anne Blach-Overgaard; Daan Blok; J. Hans C. Cornelissen; Bruce C. Forbes; Damien Georges; Scott J. Goetz; Kevin C. Guay; Gregory H.R. Henry; Janneke HilleRisLambers; Robert D. Hollister; Dirk N. Karger; Jens Kattge; Peter Manning; Janet S. Prevéy; Christian Rixen; Gabriela Schaepman-Strub; Haydn J.D. Thomas; Mark Vellend; Martin Wilmking; Sonja Wipf; Michele Carbognani; Luise Hermanutz; Esther Lévesque; Ulf Molau; Alessandro Petraglia; Nadejda A. Soudzilovskaia; Marko J. Spasojevic; Marcello Tomaselli; Tage Vowles; Juha M. Alatalo; Heather D. Alexander; Alba Anadon-Rosell; Sandra Angers-Blondin; Mariska te Beest; Logan Berner; Robert G. Björk; Agata Buchwal; Allan Buras; Katherine Christie; Elisabeth J. Cooper; Stefan Dullinger; Bo Elberling; Anu Eskelinen; Esther R. Frei; Oriol Grau; Paul Grogan; Martin Hallinger; Karen A. Harper; Monique M.P.D. Heijmans; James Hudson; Karl Hülber; Maitane Iturrate-Garcia; Colleen M. Iversen; Francesca Jaroszynska; Jill F. Johnstone; Rasmus Halfdan Jørgensen; Elina Kaarlejärvi; Rebecca Klady; Sara Kuleza; Aino Kulonen; Laurent J. Lamarque; Trevor Lantz; Chelsea J. Little; James D.M. Speed; Anders Michelsen; Ann Milbau; Jacob Nabe-Nielsen; Sigrid Schøler Nielsen; Josep M. Ninot; Steven F. Oberbauer; Johan Olofsson; Vladimir G. Onipchenko; Sabine B. Rumpf; Philipp Semenchuk; Rohan Shetti; Laura Siegwart Collier; Lorna E. Street; Katharine N. Suding; Ken D. Tape; Andrew Trant; Urs A. Treier; Jean Pierre Tremblay; Maxime Tremblay; Susanna Venn; Stef Weijers; Tara Zamin; Noémie Boulanger-Lapointe; William A. Gould; David S. Hik; Annika Hofgaard; Ingibjörg S. Jónsdóttir; Janet Jorgenson; Julia Klein; Borgthor Magnusson; Craig Tweedie; Philip A. Wookey; Michael Bahn; Benjamin Blonder; Peter M. van Bodegom; Benjamin Bond-Lamberty; Giandiego Campetella; Bruno E.L. Cerabolini; F. Stuart Chapin; William K. Cornwell; Joseph Craine; Matteo Dainese; Franciska T. de Vries; Sandra Díaz; Brian J. Enquist; Walton Green; Ruben Milla; Ülo Niinemets; Yusuke Onoda; Jenny C. Ordoñez; Wim A. Ozinga; Josep Penuelas; Hendrik Poorter; Peter Poschlod; Peter B. Reich; Brody Sandel; Brandon Schamp; Serge Sheremetev; Evan Weiher

doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0563-7

Plant functional trait change across a warming tundra biome

Anne D. Bjorkman^*, Isla H. Myers-Smith, Sarah C. Elmendorf, Signe Normand, Nadja Rüger, Pieter S.A. Beck, Anne Blach-Overgaard, Daan Blok, J. Hans C. Cornelissen, Bruce C. Forbes, Damien Georges, Scott J. Goetz, Kevin C. Guay, Gregory H.R. Henry, Janneke HilleRisLambers, Robert D. Hollister, Dirk N. Karger, Jens Kattge, Peter Manning, Janet S. PrevéyChristian Rixen, Gabriela Schaepman-Strub, Haydn J.D. Thomas, Mark Vellend, Martin Wilmking, Sonja Wipf, Michele Carbognani, Luise Hermanutz, Esther Lévesque, Ulf Molau, Alessandro Petraglia, Nadejda A. Soudzilovskaia, Marko J. Spasojevic, Marcello Tomaselli, Tage Vowles, Juha M. Alatalo, Heather D. Alexander, Alba Anadon-Rosell, Sandra Angers-Blondin, Mariska te Beest, Logan Berner, Robert G. Björk, Agata Buchwal, Allan Buras, Katherine Christie, Elisabeth J. Cooper, Stefan Dullinger, Bo Elberling, Anu Eskelinen, Esther R. Frei, Oriol Grau, Paul Grogan, Martin Hallinger, Karen A. Harper, Monique M.P.D. Heijmans, James Hudson, Karl Hülber, Maitane Iturrate-Garcia, Colleen M. Iversen, Francesca Jaroszynska, Jill F. Johnstone, Rasmus Halfdan Jørgensen, Elina Kaarlejärvi, Rebecca Klady, Sara Kuleza, Aino Kulonen, Laurent J. Lamarque, Trevor Lantz, Chelsea J. Little, James D.M. Speed, Anders Michelsen, Ann Milbau, Jacob Nabe-Nielsen, Sigrid Schøler Nielsen, Josep M. Ninot, Steven F. Oberbauer, Johan Olofsson, Vladimir G. Onipchenko, Sabine B. Rumpf, Philipp Semenchuk, Rohan Shetti, Laura Siegwart Collier, Lorna E. Street, Katharine N. Suding, Ken D. Tape, Andrew Trant, Urs A. Treier, Jean Pierre Tremblay, Maxime Tremblay, Susanna Venn, Stef Weijers, Tara Zamin, Noémie Boulanger-Lapointe, William A. Gould, David S. Hik, Annika Hofgaard, Ingibjörg S. Jónsdóttir, Janet Jorgenson, Julia Klein, Borgthor Magnusson, Craig Tweedie, Philip A. Wookey, Michael Bahn, Benjamin Blonder, Peter M. van Bodegom, Benjamin Bond-Lamberty, Giandiego Campetella, Bruno E.L. Cerabolini, F. Stuart Chapin, William K. Cornwell, Joseph Craine, Matteo Dainese, Franciska T. de Vries, Sandra Díaz, Brian J. Enquist, Walton Green, Ruben Milla, Ülo Niinemets, Yusuke Onoda, Jenny C. Ordoñez, Wim A. Ozinga, Josep Penuelas, Hendrik Poorter, Peter Poschlod, Peter B. Reich, Brody Sandel, Brandon Schamp, Serge Sheremetev, Evan Weiher

^*Corresponding author for this work

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Abstract

The tundra is warming more rapidly than any other biome on Earth, and the potential ramifications are far-reaching because of global feedback effects between vegetation and climate. A better understanding of how environmental factors shape plant structure and function is crucial for predicting the consequences of environmental change for ecosystem functioning. Here we explore the biome-wide relationships between temperature, moisture and seven key plant functional traits both across space and over three decades of warming at 117 tundra locations. Spatial temperature–trait relationships were generally strong but soil moisture had a marked influence on the strength and direction of these relationships, highlighting the potentially important influence of changes in water availability on future trait shifts in tundra plant communities. Community height increased with warming across all sites over the past three decades, but other traits lagged far behind predicted rates of change. Our findings highlight the challenge of using space-for-time substitution to predict the functional consequences of future warming and suggest that functions that are tied closely to plant height will experience the most rapid change. They also reveal the strength with which environmental factors shape biotic communities at the coldest extremes of the planet and will help to improve projections of functional changes in tundra ecosystems with climate warming.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	57-83
Number of pages	27
Journal	Nature
Volume	562
Issue number	7725
Early online date	26 Sept 2018
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0563-7
Publication status	Published - 4 Oct 2018

Funding

(155554). B.C.F. was supported by the Academy of Finland (256991) and JPI Climate (291581). B.J.E. was supported by an NSF ATB, CAREER and Macrosystems award. C.M.I. was supported by the Office of Biological and Environmental Research in the US Department of Energy’s Office of Science as part of the Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments in the Arctic (NGEE Arctic) project. D.B. was supported by The Swedish Research Council (2015-00465) and Marie Skłodowska Curie Actions co-funding (INCA 600398). E.W. was supported by the National Science Foundation (DEB-0415383), UWEC–ORSP and UWEC–BCDT. G.S.-S. and M.I.-G. were supported by the University of Zurich Research Priority Program on Global Change and Biodiversity. H.D.A. was supported by NSF PLR (1623764, 1304040). I.S.J. was supported by the Icelandic Research Fund (70255021) and the University of Iceland Research Fund. J.D.M.S. was supported by the Research Council of Norway (262064). J.S.P. was supported by the US Fish and Wildlife Service. J.C.O. was supported by Klimaat voor ruimte, Dutch national research program Climate Change and Spatial Planning. J.F.J., P.G., G.H.R.H., E.L., N.B.-L., K.A.H., L.S.C. and T.Z. were supported by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC). G.H.R.H., N.B.-L., E.L., L.S.C. and L.H. were supported by ArcticNet. G.H.R.H., N.B.-L., M.Tr. and L.S.C. were supported by the Northern Scientific Training Program. G.H.R.H., E.L. and N.B.-L. were additionally supported by the Polar Continental Shelf Program. N.B.-L. was additionally supported by the Fonds de recherche du Quebec: Nature et Technologies and the Centre d’études Nordiques. J.P. was supported by the European Research Council Synergy grant SyG-2013-610028 IMBALANCE-P. A.A.-R., O.G. and J.M.N. were supported by the Spanish OAPN (project 534S/2012) and European INTERACT project (262693 Transnational Access). K.D.T. was supported by NSF ANS-1418123. L.E.S. and P.A.W. were supported by the UK Natural Environment Research Council Arctic Terrestrial Ecology Special Topic Programme and Arctic Programme (NE/K000284/1 to P.A.W.). P.A.W. was additionally supported by the European Union Fourth Environment and Climate Framework Programme (Project Number ENV4-CT970586). M.W. was supported by DFG RTG 2010. R.D.H. was supported by the US National Science Foundation. M.J.S. and K.N.S. were supported by the Niwot Ridge LTER (NSF DEB-1637686). H.J.D.T. was funded by a NERC doctoral training partnership grant (NE/L002558/1). V.G.O. was supported by the Russian Science Foundation (14-50-00029). L.B. was supported by NSF ANS (1661723) and S.J.G. by NASA ABoVE (NNX15AU03A/NNX17AE44G). B.B.-L. was supported as part of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) project, funded by the US Department of Energy, Office of Science, Office of Biological and Environmental Research. A.E. was supported by the Academy of Finland (projects 253385 and 297191). E.K. was supported by Swedish Research Council (2015-00498), and S.Dí. was supported by CONICET, FONCyT and SECyT-UNC, Argentina. The study has been supported by the TRY initiative on plant traits (http://www.try-db.org), which is hosted at the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany and is currently supported by DIVERSITAS/Future Earth and the German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig. A.D.B. and S.C.E. thank the US National Science Foundation for support to receive training in Bayesian methods (grant 1145200 to N. Thompson Hobbs). We thank H. Bruelheide and J. Ramirez-Villegas for helpful input at earlier stages of this project. We acknowledge the contributions of S. Mamet, M. Jean, K. Allen, N. Young, J. Lowe, O. Eriksson and many others to trait and community composition data collection, and thank the governments, parks, field stations and local and indigenous people for the opportunity to conduct research on their land. Acknowledgements This paper is an outcome of the sTundra working group supported by sDiv, the Synthesis Centre of the German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig (DFG FZT 118). A.D.B. was supported by an iDiv postdoctoral fellowship and The Danish Council for Independent Research - Natural Sciences (DFF 4181-00565 to S.N.). A.D.B., I.H.M.-S., H.J.D.T. and S.A.-B. were funded by the UK Natural Environment Research Council (ShrubTundra Project NE/M016323/1 to I.H.M.-S.). S.N., A.B.O., S.S.N. and U.A.T. were supported by the Villum Foundation’s Young Investigator Programme (VKR023456 to S.N.) and the Carlsberg Foundation (2013-01-0825). N.R. was supported by the DFG-Forschungszentrum ‘German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig’ and Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft DFG (RU 1536/3-1). A.Buc. was supported by EU-F7P INTERACT (262693) and MOBILITY PLUS (1072/MOB/2013/0). A.B.O. was additionally supported by the Danish Council for Independent Research - Natural Sciences (DFF 4181-00565 to S.N.). J.M.A. was supported by the Carl Tryggers stiftelse för vetenskaplig forskning, A.H. by the Research Council of Norway (244557/E50), B.E. and A.Mic. by the Danish National Research Foundation (CENPERM DNRF100), B.M. by the Soil Conservation Service of Iceland and E.R.F. by the Swiss National Science Foundation

Funders	Funder number
CENPERM	DNRF100
Centre d’études Nordiques
DFG-Forschungszentrum ‘German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft DFG	RU 1536/3-1
Dutch national research program Climate Change and Spatial Planning
EU-F7P INTERACT	1072/MOB/2013/0
German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research
Icelandic Research Fund	70255021
Klimaat voor Ruimte
NASA ABoVE	NNX15AU03A/NNX17AE44G
NSF ANS	1661723
NSF ATB
NSF PLR	1623764
Office of Biological and Environmental Research	253385, 297191, 2015-00498
Office of Biological and Environmental Research in the US Department of Energy
SECyT-UNC
Soil Conservation Service of Iceland
Synthesis Centre of the German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig
UK Natural Environment Research Council	NE/K000284/1
US Department of Energy
US National Science Foundation	DEB-1637686
National Science Foundation	ANS-1418123, 1304040, 1145200, DEB-0415383
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
Office of Science
Natur og Univers, Det Frie Forskningsråd	DFF 4181-00565
Villum Fonden	VKR023456
University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Seventh Framework Programme	262693, 610028
Organismo Autónomo de Parques Nacionales	534S/2012
ArcticNet
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
Natural Environment Research Council	NE/L002558/1, NE/M016323/1
Marie Curie	INCA 600398
European Research Council	SyG-2013-610028 IMBALANCE-P
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft	RTG 2010, FZT 118
Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung
Danmarks Grundforskningsfond
Academy of Finland	256991, 291581
Carl Tryggers Stiftelse för Vetenskaplig Forskning
Carlsbergfondet	2013-01-0825
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
Fonds de recherche du Québec – Nature et technologies
Vetenskapsrådet	2015-00465
Fourth Framework Programme	ENV4-CT970586
Háskóli Íslands
Norges forskningsråd	244557/E50, 262064
Universität Zürich
Fondo para la Investigación Científica y Tecnológica
Russian Science Foundation	14-50-00029
iDiv

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10.1038/s41586-018-0563-7

Plant functional trait change across a warming tundra biomeFinal published version, 10.3 MBLicence: Article 25fa Dutch Copyright Act

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Bjorkman, A. D., Myers-Smith, I. H., Elmendorf, S. C., Normand, S., Rüger, N., Beck, P. S. A., Blach-Overgaard, A., Blok, D., Cornelissen, J. H. C., Forbes, B. C., Georges, D., Goetz, S. J., Guay, K. C., Henry, G. H. R., HilleRisLambers, J., Hollister, R. D., Karger, D. N., Kattge, J., Manning, P., ... Weiher, E. (2018). Plant functional trait change across a warming tundra biome. Nature, 562(7725), 57-83. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0563-7

@article{dd2f9b9e77214996876c1dce32be7b12,

title = "Plant functional trait change across a warming tundra biome",

abstract = "The tundra is warming more rapidly than any other biome on Earth, and the potential ramifications are far-reaching because of global feedback effects between vegetation and climate. A better understanding of how environmental factors shape plant structure and function is crucial for predicting the consequences of environmental change for ecosystem functioning. Here we explore the biome-wide relationships between temperature, moisture and seven key plant functional traits both across space and over three decades of warming at 117 tundra locations. Spatial temperature–trait relationships were generally strong but soil moisture had a marked influence on the strength and direction of these relationships, highlighting the potentially important influence of changes in water availability on future trait shifts in tundra plant communities. Community height increased with warming across all sites over the past three decades, but other traits lagged far behind predicted rates of change. Our findings highlight the challenge of using space-for-time substitution to predict the functional consequences of future warming and suggest that functions that are tied closely to plant height will experience the most rapid change. They also reveal the strength with which environmental factors shape biotic communities at the coldest extremes of the planet and will help to improve projections of functional changes in tundra ecosystems with climate warming.",

author = "Bjorkman, {Anne D.} and Myers-Smith, {Isla H.} and Elmendorf, {Sarah C.} and Signe Normand and Nadja R{\"u}ger and Beck, {Pieter S.A.} and Anne Blach-Overgaard and Daan Blok and Cornelissen, {J. Hans C.} and Forbes, {Bruce C.} and Damien Georges and Goetz, {Scott J.} and Guay, {Kevin C.} and Henry, {Gregory H.R.} and Janneke HilleRisLambers and Hollister, {Robert D.} and Karger, {Dirk N.} and Jens Kattge and Peter Manning and Prev{\'e}y, {Janet S.} and Christian Rixen and Gabriela Schaepman-Strub and Thomas, {Haydn J.D.} and Mark Vellend and Martin Wilmking and Sonja Wipf and Michele Carbognani and Luise Hermanutz and Esther L{\'e}vesque and Ulf Molau and Alessandro Petraglia and Soudzilovskaia, {Nadejda A.} and Spasojevic, {Marko J.} and Marcello Tomaselli and Tage Vowles and Alatalo, {Juha M.} and Alexander, {Heather D.} and Alba Anadon-Rosell and Sandra Angers-Blondin and Beest, {Mariska te} and Logan Berner and Bj{\"o}rk, {Robert G.} and Agata Buchwal and Allan Buras and Katherine Christie and Cooper, {Elisabeth J.} and Stefan Dullinger and Bo Elberling and Anu Eskelinen and Frei, {Esther R.} and Oriol Grau and Paul Grogan and Martin Hallinger and Harper, {Karen A.} and Heijmans, {Monique M.P.D.} and James Hudson and Karl H{\"u}lber and Maitane Iturrate-Garcia and Iversen, {Colleen M.} and Francesca Jaroszynska and Johnstone, {Jill F.} and J{\o}rgensen, {Rasmus Halfdan} and Elina Kaarlej{\"a}rvi and Rebecca Klady and Sara Kuleza and Aino Kulonen and Lamarque, {Laurent J.} and Trevor Lantz and Little, {Chelsea J.} and Speed, {James D.M.} and Anders Michelsen and Ann Milbau and Jacob Nabe-Nielsen and Nielsen, {Sigrid Sch{\o}ler} and Ninot, {Josep M.} and Oberbauer, {Steven F.} and Johan Olofsson and Onipchenko, {Vladimir G.} and Rumpf, {Sabine B.} and Philipp Semenchuk and Rohan Shetti and Collier, {Laura Siegwart} and Street, {Lorna E.} and Suding, {Katharine N.} and Tape, {Ken D.} and Andrew Trant and Treier, {Urs A.} and Tremblay, {Jean Pierre} and Maxime Tremblay and Susanna Venn and Stef Weijers and Tara Zamin and No{\'e}mie Boulanger-Lapointe and Gould, {William A.} and Hik, {David S.} and Annika Hofgaard and J{\'o}nsd{\'o}ttir, {Ingibj{\"o}rg S.} and Janet Jorgenson and Julia Klein and Borgthor Magnusson and Craig Tweedie and Wookey, {Philip A.} and Michael Bahn and Benjamin Blonder and {van Bodegom}, {Peter M.} and Benjamin Bond-Lamberty and Giandiego Campetella and Cerabolini, {Bruno E.L.} and Chapin, {F. Stuart} and Cornwell, {William K.} and Joseph Craine and Matteo Dainese and {de Vries}, {Franciska T.} and Sandra D{\'i}az and Enquist, {Brian J.} and Walton Green and Ruben Milla and {\"U}lo Niinemets and Yusuke Onoda and Ordo{\~n}ez, {Jenny C.} and Ozinga, {Wim A.} and Josep Penuelas and Hendrik Poorter and Peter Poschlod and Reich, {Peter B.} and Brody Sandel and Brandon Schamp and Serge Sheremetev and Evan Weiher",

year = "2018",

month = oct,

day = "4",

doi = "10.1038/s41586-018-0563-7",

language = "English",

volume = "562",

pages = "57--83",

journal = "Nature",

issn = "0028-0836",

publisher = "Nature Publishing Group",

number = "7725",

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Bjorkman, AD, Myers-Smith, IH, Elmendorf, SC, Normand, S, Rüger, N, Beck, PSA, Blach-Overgaard, A, Blok, D, Cornelissen, JHC, Forbes, BC, Georges, D, Goetz, SJ, Guay, KC, Henry, GHR, HilleRisLambers, J, Hollister, RD, Karger, DN, Kattge, J, Manning, P, Prevéy, JS, Rixen, C, Schaepman-Strub, G, Thomas, HJD, Vellend, M, Wilmking, M, Wipf, S, Carbognani, M, Hermanutz, L, Lévesque, E, Molau, U, Petraglia, A, Soudzilovskaia, NA, Spasojevic, MJ, Tomaselli, M, Vowles, T, Alatalo, JM, Alexander, HD, Anadon-Rosell, A, Angers-Blondin, S, Beest, MT, Berner, L, Björk, RG, Buchwal, A, Buras, A, Christie, K, Cooper, EJ, Dullinger, S, Elberling, B, Eskelinen, A, Frei, ER, Grau, O, Grogan, P, Hallinger, M, Harper, KA, Heijmans, MMPD, Hudson, J, Hülber, K, Iturrate-Garcia, M, Iversen, CM, Jaroszynska, F, Johnstone, JF, Jørgensen, RH, Kaarlejärvi, E, Klady, R, Kuleza, S, Kulonen, A, Lamarque, LJ, Lantz, T, Little, CJ, Speed, JDM, Michelsen, A, Milbau, A, Nabe-Nielsen, J, Nielsen, SS, Ninot, JM, Oberbauer, SF, Olofsson, J, Onipchenko, VG, Rumpf, SB, Semenchuk, P, Shetti, R, Collier, LS, Street, LE, Suding, KN, Tape, KD, Trant, A, Treier, UA, Tremblay, JP, Tremblay, M, Venn, S, Weijers, S, Zamin, T, Boulanger-Lapointe, N, Gould, WA, Hik, DS, Hofgaard, A, Jónsdóttir, IS, Jorgenson, J, Klein, J, Magnusson, B, Tweedie, C, Wookey, PA, Bahn, M, Blonder, B, van Bodegom, PM, Bond-Lamberty, B, Campetella, G, Cerabolini, BEL, Chapin, FS, Cornwell, WK, Craine, J, Dainese, M, de Vries, FT, Díaz, S, Enquist, BJ, Green, W, Milla, R, Niinemets, Ü, Onoda, Y, Ordoñez, JC, Ozinga, WA, Penuelas, J, Poorter, H, Poschlod, P, Reich, PB, Sandel, B, Schamp, B, Sheremetev, S & Weiher, E 2018, 'Plant functional trait change across a warming tundra biome', Nature, vol. 562, no. 7725, pp. 57-83. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0563-7

TY - JOUR

T1 - Plant functional trait change across a warming tundra biome

AU - Bjorkman, Anne D.

AU - Myers-Smith, Isla H.

AU - Elmendorf, Sarah C.

AU - Normand, Signe

AU - Rüger, Nadja

AU - Beck, Pieter S.A.

AU - Blach-Overgaard, Anne

AU - Blok, Daan

AU - Cornelissen, J. Hans C.

AU - Forbes, Bruce C.

AU - Georges, Damien

AU - Goetz, Scott J.

AU - Guay, Kevin C.

AU - Henry, Gregory H.R.

AU - HilleRisLambers, Janneke

AU - Hollister, Robert D.

AU - Karger, Dirk N.

AU - Kattge, Jens

AU - Manning, Peter

AU - Prevéy, Janet S.

AU - Rixen, Christian

AU - Schaepman-Strub, Gabriela

AU - Thomas, Haydn J.D.

AU - Vellend, Mark

AU - Wilmking, Martin

AU - Wipf, Sonja

AU - Carbognani, Michele

AU - Hermanutz, Luise

AU - Lévesque, Esther

AU - Molau, Ulf

AU - Petraglia, Alessandro

AU - Soudzilovskaia, Nadejda A.

AU - Spasojevic, Marko J.

AU - Tomaselli, Marcello

AU - Vowles, Tage

AU - Alatalo, Juha M.

AU - Alexander, Heather D.

AU - Anadon-Rosell, Alba

AU - Angers-Blondin, Sandra

AU - Beest, Mariska te

AU - Berner, Logan

AU - Björk, Robert G.

AU - Buchwal, Agata

AU - Buras, Allan

AU - Christie, Katherine

AU - Cooper, Elisabeth J.

AU - Dullinger, Stefan

AU - Elberling, Bo

AU - Eskelinen, Anu

AU - Frei, Esther R.

AU - Grau, Oriol

AU - Grogan, Paul

AU - Hallinger, Martin

AU - Harper, Karen A.

AU - Heijmans, Monique M.P.D.

AU - Hudson, James

AU - Hülber, Karl

AU - Iturrate-Garcia, Maitane

AU - Iversen, Colleen M.

AU - Jaroszynska, Francesca

AU - Johnstone, Jill F.

AU - Jørgensen, Rasmus Halfdan

AU - Kaarlejärvi, Elina

AU - Klady, Rebecca

AU - Kuleza, Sara

AU - Kulonen, Aino

AU - Lamarque, Laurent J.

AU - Lantz, Trevor

AU - Little, Chelsea J.

AU - Speed, James D.M.

AU - Michelsen, Anders

AU - Milbau, Ann

AU - Nabe-Nielsen, Jacob

AU - Nielsen, Sigrid Schøler

AU - Ninot, Josep M.

AU - Oberbauer, Steven F.

AU - Olofsson, Johan

AU - Onipchenko, Vladimir G.

AU - Rumpf, Sabine B.

AU - Semenchuk, Philipp

AU - Shetti, Rohan

AU - Collier, Laura Siegwart

AU - Street, Lorna E.

AU - Suding, Katharine N.

AU - Tape, Ken D.

AU - Trant, Andrew

AU - Treier, Urs A.

AU - Tremblay, Jean Pierre

AU - Tremblay, Maxime

AU - Venn, Susanna

AU - Weijers, Stef

AU - Zamin, Tara

AU - Boulanger-Lapointe, Noémie

AU - Gould, William A.

AU - Hik, David S.

AU - Hofgaard, Annika

AU - Jónsdóttir, Ingibjörg S.

AU - Jorgenson, Janet

AU - Klein, Julia

AU - Magnusson, Borgthor

AU - Tweedie, Craig

AU - Wookey, Philip A.

AU - Bahn, Michael

AU - Blonder, Benjamin

AU - van Bodegom, Peter M.

AU - Bond-Lamberty, Benjamin

AU - Campetella, Giandiego

AU - Cerabolini, Bruno E.L.

AU - Chapin, F. Stuart

AU - Cornwell, William K.

AU - Craine, Joseph

AU - Dainese, Matteo

AU - de Vries, Franciska T.

AU - Díaz, Sandra

AU - Enquist, Brian J.

AU - Green, Walton

AU - Milla, Ruben

AU - Niinemets, Ülo

AU - Onoda, Yusuke

AU - Ordoñez, Jenny C.

AU - Ozinga, Wim A.

AU - Penuelas, Josep

AU - Poorter, Hendrik

AU - Poschlod, Peter

AU - Reich, Peter B.

AU - Sandel, Brody

AU - Schamp, Brandon

AU - Sheremetev, Serge

AU - Weiher, Evan

PY - 2018/10/4

Y1 - 2018/10/4

N2 - The tundra is warming more rapidly than any other biome on Earth, and the potential ramifications are far-reaching because of global feedback effects between vegetation and climate. A better understanding of how environmental factors shape plant structure and function is crucial for predicting the consequences of environmental change for ecosystem functioning. Here we explore the biome-wide relationships between temperature, moisture and seven key plant functional traits both across space and over three decades of warming at 117 tundra locations. Spatial temperature–trait relationships were generally strong but soil moisture had a marked influence on the strength and direction of these relationships, highlighting the potentially important influence of changes in water availability on future trait shifts in tundra plant communities. Community height increased with warming across all sites over the past three decades, but other traits lagged far behind predicted rates of change. Our findings highlight the challenge of using space-for-time substitution to predict the functional consequences of future warming and suggest that functions that are tied closely to plant height will experience the most rapid change. They also reveal the strength with which environmental factors shape biotic communities at the coldest extremes of the planet and will help to improve projections of functional changes in tundra ecosystems with climate warming.

AB - The tundra is warming more rapidly than any other biome on Earth, and the potential ramifications are far-reaching because of global feedback effects between vegetation and climate. A better understanding of how environmental factors shape plant structure and function is crucial for predicting the consequences of environmental change for ecosystem functioning. Here we explore the biome-wide relationships between temperature, moisture and seven key plant functional traits both across space and over three decades of warming at 117 tundra locations. Spatial temperature–trait relationships were generally strong but soil moisture had a marked influence on the strength and direction of these relationships, highlighting the potentially important influence of changes in water availability on future trait shifts in tundra plant communities. Community height increased with warming across all sites over the past three decades, but other traits lagged far behind predicted rates of change. Our findings highlight the challenge of using space-for-time substitution to predict the functional consequences of future warming and suggest that functions that are tied closely to plant height will experience the most rapid change. They also reveal the strength with which environmental factors shape biotic communities at the coldest extremes of the planet and will help to improve projections of functional changes in tundra ecosystems with climate warming.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85054332128&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85054332128&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1038/s41586-018-0563-7

DO - 10.1038/s41586-018-0563-7

M3 - Article

C2 - 30258229

AN - SCOPUS:85054332128

SN - 0028-0836

VL - 562

SP - 57

EP - 83

JO - Nature

JF - Nature

IS - 7725

ER -

Plant functional trait change across a warming tundra biome

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