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Precipitation observing network gaps limit climate change impact assessment

  • Jiajia Su
  • , Chiyuan Miao*
  • , Francis Zwiers
  • , Hylke Beck
  • , Phil Jones
  • , Qiaohong Sun
  • , Louise J. Slater
  • , Wouter R. Berghuijs
  • , Yoshihide Wada
  • , Daniel Rosenfeld
  • , Jiaojiao Gou
  • , Yi Wu
  • , Paolo Tarolli
  • , Pasquale Borrelli
  • , Panos Panagos
  • , Lisa V. Alexander
  • , Qi Zhang
  • , Jinlong Hu
  • , Seung Ki Min
  • , Luis Samaniego
  • Qingyun Duan, Georgia Destouni, Jose A. Marengo, Reza Modarres, Soroosh Sorooshian
*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Reliable future climate projections and water deficiency assessments require precipitation observations that are both spatially comprehensive and temporally complete, yet many global regions still suffer from observation sparsity1,2. Here we evaluate the distribution of 221,483 internationally exchanged precipitation gauges worldwide, with records across 1900–2022, and further explore where new gauges are most needed under different scenarios. We find that at present only 13.4% of the global land surface meets the World Meteorological Organization requirements for annual precipitation monitoring, indicating widespread scarcity that has serious socioeconomic implications. Europe has the highest continental gauge density (2.4 gauges per 1,000 km2), with Germany leading among countries over 50,000 km2 (22.4 gauges per 1,000 km2). Globally, 25% of land surface already requires urgent expansion of gauge networks because of climate variability, including northern South America, northern North America, Central Africa and southern Asia. Considering projected precipitation changes and socioeconomic conditions under a high-emission scenario further identifies high-need regions in India, Greenland, Bolivia and China because of climate sensitivity and socioeconomic vulnerabilities, increasing this share to 32.1% of global land. Our findings highlight important gaps in global precipitation monitoring that require strategic investments in new gauges and underscore the need for open data access.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)119-125
Number of pages7
JournalNature
Volume652
Issue number8108
Early online date25 Mar 2026
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2 Apr 2026

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2026.

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