Predictive modelling

Research output: Chapter in Book / Report / Conference proceedingEntry for encyclopedia/dictionaryAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

Predictive modeling is a technique to predict the location of archaeological sites in uninvestigated areas that has been used since the 1970s to aid spatial planning, for example, in cultural resource management. Predictive modeling is also used to develop and test scientific models of human locational behavior, as it is based on either statistical extrapolation of known archaeological data or explanatory models of site location preference. In practice, a number of methods can be used in predictive modeling, and the resulting maps of predicted site density can vary in accuracy. The main difficulties in producing accurate predictive models are coupled with the resolution and representativeness of the archaeological and nonarchaeological datasets used, the theoretical frameworks underlying the models, and the lack of model testing. Nonetheless, predictive models are very useful to provide basic protection to areas of high sensitivity, and can save costs for archaeological investigations.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationThe Encyclopedia of Archaeological Sciences
EditorsSandra López Varela
PublisherWiley‐Blackwell
ISBN (Electronic)9781119188230
ISBN (Print)9780470674611
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 5 Dec 2018

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modeling
human behavior
spatial planning
resource management
cost
archaeological site
method
test

Cite this

Verhagen, J. W. H. P. (2018). Predictive modelling. In S. López Varela (Ed.), The Encyclopedia of Archaeological Sciences Wiley‐Blackwell. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119188230.saseas0475
Verhagen, J.W.H.P. / Predictive modelling. The Encyclopedia of Archaeological Sciences. editor / Sandra López Varela. Wiley‐Blackwell, 2018.
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Verhagen, JWHP 2018, Predictive modelling. in S López Varela (ed.), The Encyclopedia of Archaeological Sciences. Wiley‐Blackwell. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119188230.saseas0475

Predictive modelling. / Verhagen, J.W.H.P.

The Encyclopedia of Archaeological Sciences. ed. / Sandra López Varela. Wiley‐Blackwell, 2018.

Research output: Chapter in Book / Report / Conference proceedingEntry for encyclopedia/dictionaryAcademicpeer-review

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Verhagen JWHP. Predictive modelling. In López Varela S, editor, The Encyclopedia of Archaeological Sciences. Wiley‐Blackwell. 2018 https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119188230.saseas0475