Projecting future urban density change

Eric Koomen; Thijmen van der Wielen; Jasper van Vliet; F.J.A. van Rijn; Bas van Bemmel

Abstract

This study aims to enrich our understanding of urban expansion at a global scale and focusses on the importance of changes in urban density to explain urban area development. The presented analysis supports the development of country-specific, future projections of total urban area that can be used in global assessment models. Such projections typically calculate urban area demand as a function of total urban population and an assumed urban land take per person. While population projections are well-established (e.g., Chen et al., 2020), urban density projections have received much less research attention.

Original language	English
Pages	144
Number of pages	145
Publication status	Published - 16 Sept 2023
Event	23rd European Colloqium on Theoretical Quantitative Geography - Braga, Portugal Duration: 14 Sept 2023 → 17 Sept 2023 Conference number: 23 https://ucpages.uc.pt/events/ectqg2023/

Conference

Conference	23rd European Colloqium on Theoretical Quantitative Geography
Abbreviated title	ECTQG
Country/Territory	Portugal
City	Braga
Period	14/09/23 → 17/09/23
Internet address	https://ucpages.uc.pt/events/ectqg2023/

Bibliographical note

ECTQG2023 Proceedings. 23rd European Colloquium on Theoretical and Quantitative Geography, Braga, Portugal 14-17 September 2023. Research Centre for Territory, Transport and Environment of the Universities of Coimbra and Porto (CITTA). pp.144-145.

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Projecting future urban density change_ECTQG2023Final published version, 670 KBLicence: Unspecified

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Cite this

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title = "Projecting future urban density change",

abstract = "This study aims to enrich our understanding of urban expansion at a global scale and focusses on the importance of changes in urban density to explain urban area development. The presented analysis supports the development of country-specific, future projections of total urban area that can be used in global assessment models. Such projections typically calculate urban area demand as a function of total urban population and an assumed urban land take per person. While population projections are well-established (e.g., Chen et al., 2020), urban density projections have received much less research attention.",

author = "Eric Koomen and {van der Wielen}, Thijmen and {van Vliet}, Jasper and Rijn, {F.J.A. van} and {van Bemmel}, Bas",

note = "ECTQG2023 Proceedings. 23rd European Colloquium on Theoretical and Quantitative Geography, Braga, Portugal 14-17 September 2023. Research Centre for Territory, Transport and Environment of the Universities of Coimbra and Porto (CITTA). pp.144-145. ; 23rd European Colloqium on Theoretical Quantitative Geography, ECTQG ; Conference date: 14-09-2023 Through 17-09-2023",

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T1 - Projecting future urban density change

AU - Koomen, Eric

AU - van der Wielen, Thijmen

AU - van Vliet, Jasper

AU - Rijn, F.J.A. van

AU - van Bemmel, Bas

N1 - Conference code: 23

PY - 2023/9/16

Y1 - 2023/9/16

N2 - This study aims to enrich our understanding of urban expansion at a global scale and focusses on the importance of changes in urban density to explain urban area development. The presented analysis supports the development of country-specific, future projections of total urban area that can be used in global assessment models. Such projections typically calculate urban area demand as a function of total urban population and an assumed urban land take per person. While population projections are well-established (e.g., Chen et al., 2020), urban density projections have received much less research attention.

AB - This study aims to enrich our understanding of urban expansion at a global scale and focusses on the importance of changes in urban density to explain urban area development. The presented analysis supports the development of country-specific, future projections of total urban area that can be used in global assessment models. Such projections typically calculate urban area demand as a function of total urban population and an assumed urban land take per person. While population projections are well-established (e.g., Chen et al., 2020), urban density projections have received much less research attention.

M3 - Abstract

SP - 144

T2 - 23rd European Colloqium on Theoretical Quantitative Geography

Y2 - 14 September 2023 through 17 September 2023

ER -