Abstract
Extreme events, such as those caused by climate change, economic or geopolitical shocks, and pest or disease epidemics, threaten global food security. The complexity of causation, as well as the myriad ways that an event, or a sequence of events, creates cascading and systemic impacts, poses significant challenges to food systems research and policy alike. To identify priority food security risks and research opportunities, we asked experts from a range of fields and geographies to describe key threats to global food security over the next two decades and to suggest key research questions and gaps on this topic. Here, we present a prioritization of threats to global food security from extreme events, as well as emerging research questions that highlight the conceptual and practical challenges that exist in designing, adopting, and governing resilient food systems. We hope that these findings help in directing research funding and resources toward food system transformations needed to help society tackle major food system risks and food insecurity under extreme events.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 756-766 |
Number of pages | 11 |
Journal | One Earth |
Volume | 5 |
Issue number | 7 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 15 Jul 2022 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:The authors would like to thank the VolkswagenStiftung for supporting the 2019 Herrenhäuser Conference Extreme Events—Building Climate Resilient Societies (https://climate-extremes-emergent-risks.org/hkextremes2019/). We would also like to thank the additional experts, beyond those listed as authors, who took the time to anonymously contribute to this work during the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic; as well as three anonymous reviewers, and Mijke Rhemtulla for advice on analysis. T.S. was supported by a grant (435-2019-0155) from Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada. N.K.N. was supported by grant J-001387.001.11 from the Canadian Agricultural Partnership (CAP) Program of Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada. D. Makowski was supported by grant 16-CONV-0003 (ANR CLAND). M.M.C. was supported by the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry. B.M. was supported by the Volkswagen Foundation—Conferences & Symposia. C.L. was supported by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement 796451 (FFSize). W.A. was supported by the Earth Institute Postdoctoral Fellowship. C.R. was supported by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, under a contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (80NM0018D0004). J.M.R.-L. was supported by the RESIFOOD project of the European Commission Joint Research Centre. L.Y. was supported by OneCGIAR ClimBER Initiative. The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Z.M. R.D. and A.I. conceived of the study. Z.M. and R.D. coordinated the workshop. Z.M. C.L. and K.B. created and coordinated the online surveys. Z.M. and G.B. conducted the analysis. Z.M. coordinated the writing. All authors participated in the study and contributed to writing. The authors declare no competing interests.
Funding Information:
The authors would like to thank the VolkswagenStiftung for supporting the 2019 Herrenhäuser Conference Extreme Events—Building Climate Resilient Societies ( https://climate-extremes-emergent-risks.org/hkextremes2019/ ). We would also like to thank the additional experts, beyond those listed as authors, who took the time to anonymously contribute to this work during the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic; as well as three anonymous reviewers, and Mijke Rhemtulla for advice on analysis. T.S. was supported by a grant ( 435-2019-0155 ) from Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada . N.K.N. was supported by grant J-001387.001.11 from the Canadian Agricultural Partnership (CAP) Program of Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada . D. Makowski was supported by grant 16-CONV-0003 ( ANR CLAND ). M.M.C. was supported by the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry. B.M. was supported by the Volkswagen Foundation —Conferences & Symposia. C.L. was supported by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement 796451 ( FFSize ). W.A. was supported by the Earth Institute Postdoctoral Fellowship. C.R. was supported by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology , under a contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration ( 80NM0018D0004 ). J.M.R.-L. was supported by the RESIFOOD project of the European Commission Joint Research Centre . L.Y. was supported by OneCGIAR ClimBER Initiative . The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2022
Funding
The authors would like to thank the VolkswagenStiftung for supporting the 2019 Herrenhäuser Conference Extreme Events—Building Climate Resilient Societies (https://climate-extremes-emergent-risks.org/hkextremes2019/). We would also like to thank the additional experts, beyond those listed as authors, who took the time to anonymously contribute to this work during the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic; as well as three anonymous reviewers, and Mijke Rhemtulla for advice on analysis. T.S. was supported by a grant (435-2019-0155) from Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada. N.K.N. was supported by grant J-001387.001.11 from the Canadian Agricultural Partnership (CAP) Program of Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada. D. Makowski was supported by grant 16-CONV-0003 (ANR CLAND). M.M.C. was supported by the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry. B.M. was supported by the Volkswagen Foundation—Conferences & Symposia. C.L. was supported by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement 796451 (FFSize). W.A. was supported by the Earth Institute Postdoctoral Fellowship. C.R. was supported by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, under a contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (80NM0018D0004). J.M.R.-L. was supported by the RESIFOOD project of the European Commission Joint Research Centre. L.Y. was supported by OneCGIAR ClimBER Initiative. The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Z.M. R.D. and A.I. conceived of the study. Z.M. and R.D. coordinated the workshop. Z.M. C.L. and K.B. created and coordinated the online surveys. Z.M. and G.B. conducted the analysis. Z.M. coordinated the writing. All authors participated in the study and contributed to writing. The authors declare no competing interests. The authors would like to thank the VolkswagenStiftung for supporting the 2019 Herrenhäuser Conference Extreme Events—Building Climate Resilient Societies ( https://climate-extremes-emergent-risks.org/hkextremes2019/ ). We would also like to thank the additional experts, beyond those listed as authors, who took the time to anonymously contribute to this work during the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic; as well as three anonymous reviewers, and Mijke Rhemtulla for advice on analysis. T.S. was supported by a grant ( 435-2019-0155 ) from Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada . N.K.N. was supported by grant J-001387.001.11 from the Canadian Agricultural Partnership (CAP) Program of Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada . D. Makowski was supported by grant 16-CONV-0003 ( ANR CLAND ). M.M.C. was supported by the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry. B.M. was supported by the Volkswagen Foundation —Conferences & Symposia. C.L. was supported by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement 796451 ( FFSize ). W.A. was supported by the Earth Institute Postdoctoral Fellowship. C.R. was supported by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology , under a contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration ( 80NM0018D0004 ). J.M.R.-L. was supported by the RESIFOOD project of the European Commission Joint Research Centre . L.Y. was supported by OneCGIAR ClimBER Initiative . The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
Funders | Funder number |
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European Commission Joint Research Centre | |
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations | |
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry | |
National Aeronautics and Space Administration | 80NM0018D0004 |
National Aeronautics and Space Administration | |
Earth Institute, Columbia University | |
Jet Propulsion Laboratory | |
California Institute of Technology | |
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme | |
H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions | 796451 |
H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions | |
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada | 16-CONV-0003 |
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada | |
Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada | J-001387.001.11 |
Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada | |
Volkswagen Foundation | 435-2019-0155 |
Volkswagen Foundation | |
Agence Nationale de la Recherche | |
Horizon 2020 |