This study aimed to develop scenarios of Iranians’ future participation in leisure-time physical activity (LTPA). To this end, 12 experts in the field of leisure, sociology, and sport management were invited to take part. The Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) method was used to organize and analyze the data collected in a questionnaire featuring a pairwise comparison of 18 indicators of LTPA which were drawn from the relevant literature. The DEMATEL was then used to determine the critical uncertainties of the future participation in leisure-time physical activities. Considering the two most important critical uncertainties from economic and technological dimensions, four possible futures around Iranians’ participation in these activities were created. By taking the uncertainties into consideration, decision-makers can contribute to the promotion in LTPA in the best and most efficient manner by having knowledge about the most influential framing factors of possible futures.
Bibliographical noteFunding Information:
This research project was part of a Ph.D. thesis titled ?Futures Study of Leisure-Time Physical Activity in Iran by Using Scenario Building Approach? that was supported by the Iranian Ministry of Science, Research, and Technology; Iran?s Ministry of Science, Research and Technology
© 2021 Canadian Association for Leisure Studies / Association canadienne d’études en loisir.
- dematel method
- futures study
- Leisure-time physical activity
- scenario story building