TY - JOUR
T1 - Sensitivity of global river discharges under Holocene and future climate conditions
AU - Aerts, J.C.J.H.
AU - Renssen, H.
AU - Ward, P.J.
AU - de Moel, H.
AU - Odada, E.
AU - Bouwer, L.M.
AU - Goosen, H.
PY - 2006
Y1 - 2006
N2 - A comparative analysis of global river basins shows that some river discharges are more sensitive to future climate change for the coming century than to natural climate variability over the last 9000 years. In these basins (Ganges, Mekong, Volta, Congo, Amazon, Murray-Darling, Rhine, Oder, Yukon) future discharges increase by 6-61%. These changes are of similar magnitude to changes over the last 9000 years. Some rivers (Nile, Syr Darya) experienced strong reductions in discharge over the last 9000 years (17-56%), but show much smaller responses to future warming, The simulation results for the last 9000 years are validated with independent proxy data. Copyright 2006 by the American Geophysical Union.
AB - A comparative analysis of global river basins shows that some river discharges are more sensitive to future climate change for the coming century than to natural climate variability over the last 9000 years. In these basins (Ganges, Mekong, Volta, Congo, Amazon, Murray-Darling, Rhine, Oder, Yukon) future discharges increase by 6-61%. These changes are of similar magnitude to changes over the last 9000 years. Some rivers (Nile, Syr Darya) experienced strong reductions in discharge over the last 9000 years (17-56%), but show much smaller responses to future warming, The simulation results for the last 9000 years are validated with independent proxy data. Copyright 2006 by the American Geophysical Union.
U2 - 10.1029/2006GL027493
DO - 10.1029/2006GL027493
M3 - Article
SN - 0094-8276
VL - 33 (19)
SP - 1
EP - 5
JO - Geophysical Research Letters
JF - Geophysical Research Letters
ER -
